Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/6/2022

The Boston Red Sox (54-54) will look to Xander Bogaerts, red hot after a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals (42-65) on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are -138 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi and Kansas City’s Daniel Lynch have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Royals

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at +117. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+117) and Over (9)

Red Sox vs. Royals Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
• Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch
• Game Day: Saturday, August 6, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Stadium: Kauffman Stadium

Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Nathan Eovaldi

• The Red Sox will send Eovaldi (5-3) to the mound for his 17th start of the season. He is 5-3 with a 4.11 ERA and 86 strikeouts in 87 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance was on Tuesday against the Houston Astros, when the righty tossed 6 1/3 innings, surrendering no earned runs while allowing four hits.
• In 16 games this season, the 32-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.11, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .261 against him.
• Eovaldi heads into the outing with seven quality starts under his belt this year.
• Eovaldi is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Royals offense has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.378) and is 27th in MLB play with 88 home runs. It has a collective .245 batting average, and is 14th in MLB with 885 total hits and 27th in MLB play scoring 410 runs.

Royals Starter Daniel Lynch

• The Royals will hand the ball to Lynch (4-7) for his 17th start of the season.
• The left-hander allowed six hits in 5 1/3 scoreless innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday.
• The 25-year-old has pitched to a 4.70 ERA this season with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.9 walks per nine across 16 games.
• He has one quality starts in 16 chances this season.
• Lynch has made 10 starts of five or more innings in 16 chances this season, and averages 4.2 frames when he pitches.
• The Red Sox are batting .253 this season, sixth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .407 (11th in the league) with 103 home runs.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 55 times and won 32, or 58.2%, of those games.
• Boston has a record of 14-15, a 48.3% win rate, when favored by -138 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 58%.
• So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of their 108 games with a total.
• The Red Sox are 56-52-0 against the spread in their 108 chances this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Royals have been underdogs in 88 games this season and have come away with the win 33 times (37.5%) in those contests.
• This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 21 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least +117 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 46.1% chance of pulling out a win.
• Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 52 of their 110 opportunities.
• In 110 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 50-60-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox in home runs (23), runs batted in (59) and has put up a team-best batting average of .319.
• In all of the majors, Devers ranks 15th in home runs and 25th in RBI.
• Bogaerts is batting .315 with 28 doubles, nine home runs and 41 walks.
• Bogaerts is 138th in homers and 72nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Alex Verdugo has 24 doubles, six home runs and 23 walks while hitting .269.
• J.D. Martinez has 33 doubles, nine home runs and 32 walks while hitting .280.

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Royals are lead in runs batted in by Bobby Witt Jr. with a mark of 53, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .257.
• Witt Jr.’s home run total puts him 49th in MLB, and he is 46th in RBI.
• Witt Jr. carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a home run and two RBI.
• Hunter Dozier is hitting .248 with 21 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 28 walks.
• Dozier ranks 113th in homers and 152nd in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Salvador Perez has 16 home runs, best in the lineup.
• MJ Melendez has 14 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 36 walks while batting .230.