Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/21/2022

by | Jun 21, 2022 9 Baseball 9 Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/21/2022

The Boston Red Sox (37-31) are set to take on the Detroit Tigers (26-41) Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are listed as -201 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Tigers have +169 odds for the contest. Rich Hill will get the ball for Boston while Detroit counter with Beau Brieske.

Red Sox vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Red Sox vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Red Sox -201 +169 9 -119 -101 -1.5 +101 -123

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Tigers

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+169) and Under (9)

Red Sox vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Rich Hill
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Beau Brieske
  • Game Day: Tuesday, June 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Hill Brieske
12 GS 10
2-4 W-L 1-5
4.42 ERA 3.79
55.0 IP 54.2
13 BB 17
44 SO 37

Red Sox Starter Rich Hill

  • Hill gets the start for the Red Sox, his 13th of the season. He is 2-4 with a 4.42 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 55 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Thursday, the lefty threw 5 2/3 innings against the Oakland Athletics, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 42-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.42, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opponents are batting .252 against him.
  • Hill has two quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Hill has pitched five or more innings in a game five times this year entering this game.
  • He will take the mound against a Tigers offense that is hitting .225 as a unit (27th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .324 (30th in MLB) with 35 total home runs (30th in MLB).
  • Hill has pitched 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits while striking out four against the Tigers this season.

Tigers Starter Beau Brieske

  • The Tigers’ Brieske (1-5) will make his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in 7 2/3 innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.79, a 2.176 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.207 in 10 games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start three times in 10 starts this season.
  • Brieske will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • The Red Sox rank third in MLB with a .258 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks sixth in the league (.413) and 64 home runs.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have been favorites in 40 games this season and won 25 (62.5%) of those contests.
  • Boston has entered three games this season favored by -201 or more, and won each of those games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 27 of 68 chances this season.
  • In 68 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 37-31-0 ATS.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have won in 19, or 37.3%, of the 51 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win three times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +169 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 23 of their 67 opportunities.
  • The Tigers are 30-37-0 against the spread in their 67 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers has put up a team-best 16 home runs.
  • Devers’ home runs place him 13th in MLB, and he ranks 17th in RBI.
  • Devers brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, four walks and three RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts is batting .332 with 20 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks.
  • Bogaerts is 114th in homers and 72nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • J.D. Martinez paces the Red Sox with a team-best batting average of .335.
  • Alex Verdugo is hitting .247 with 14 doubles, four home runs and 15 walks.
  • Verdugo brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a home run, a walk and four RBI.
Rafael Devers 67 .330 .384 .604 16 43 89
Xander Bogaerts 66 .332 .396 .486 6 31 82
J.D. Martínez 58 .335 .402 .542 8 29 76
Alex Verdugo 62 .247 .290 .356 4 33 59
Trevor Story 61 .221 .303 .413 10 45 52

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Harold Castro has eight doubles, a triple, four home runs and three walks while hitting .281.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Castro’s home run total is 184th and his RBI tally ranks 213th.
  • Jonathan Schoop has shown off his power as he leads his team with five home runs.
  • Schoop is currently 144th in homers and 169th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Miguel Cabrera paces the Tigers in runs batted in (22) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .291.
  • Willi Castro is hitting .255 with eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and five walks.
Harold Castro 45 .281 .298 .432 4 16 41
Jonathan Schoop 66 .195 .229 .309 5 20 48
Miguel Cabrera 57 .291 .327 .369 3 22 60
Willi Castro 47 .255 .288 .362 2 11 38
Jeimer Candelario 53 .183 .236 .317 5 17 34

Betting Tips for Red Sox vs. Tigers

Our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +169 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will under the total of 9 runs.

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