Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/22/2022

by | Jun 22, 2022 9 Baseball 9 Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/22/2022

The Detroit Tigers (26-42 look to avoid the sweep when they visit the Boston Red Sox (38-31) in the final game of a three-game set. Bookmakers have listed the Red Sox as -156 favorites, while the Tigers are +133 underdogs to pick up a win. Michael Wacha gets the starting nod for Boston while Tarik Skubal is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Red Sox vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Red Sox vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Red Sox -156 +133 8.5 -121 +101 -1.5 +132 -157

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Tigers

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+133) and Over (8.5)

Red Sox vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal
  • Game Day: Wednesday, June 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Wacha Skubal
11 GS 13
5-1 W-L 5-4
2.28 ERA 2.89
59.1 IP 74.2
17 BB 14
41 SO 79

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

  • The Red Sox are sending Wacha (5-1) to the mound to make his 12th start of the season. He is 5-1 with a 2.28 ERA and 41 strikeouts through 59 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Friday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the righty threw 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering six hits.
  • In 11 games this season, the 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.28, with 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .204 against him.
  • Wacha is trying to collect his third quality start of the year.
  • Wacha heads into the matchup with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • The opposing Tigers offense has the worst slugging percentage (.328) and is last in MLB play with 37 home runs. It has a collective .226 batting average, and is 27th in MLB with 500 total hits and last in MLB action scoring 196 runs.
  • Wacha has pitched 4 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run on two hits while striking out four against the Tigers this season.

Tigers Starter Tarik Skubal

  • The Tigers will send Skubal (5-4) to the mound for his 14th start this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up five earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • The 25-year-old has pitched to a 2.89 ERA this season with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.7 walks per nine across 13 games.
  • He has seven quality starts in 13 chances this season.
  • In 13 starts this season, Skubal has lasted five or more innings 11 times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Red Sox rank third in MLB with a .258 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks seventh in the league (.414) and 66 home runs.
  • The 25-year-old ranks 22nd in ERA (2.89), 23rd in WHIP (1.071), and 14th in K/9 (9.5) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have won 26, or 63.4%, of the 41 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Boston has a record of 11-7 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -156 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 60.9%.
  • Boston’s games have gone over the total in 27 of their 69 chances.
  • The Red Sox are 37-32-0 ATS in their 69 games with a spread this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 52 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (36.5%) in those games.
  • Detroit has a mark of 7-22 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +133 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 42.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 23 of their 68 opportunities.
  • In 68 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 31-37-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers’ 16 homers in 2022 are the most on the Red Sox. He’s also driven in 43 runs while hitting .328.
  • In all of the majors, Devers is 13th in home runs and 19th in RBI.
  • Devers has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, two walks and three RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts’ .335 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Of all MLB hitters, Bogaerts ranks 118th in homers and 76th in RBI.
  • J.D. Martinez is hitting .330 with 23 doubles, eight home runs and 24 walks.
  • Trevor Story has put up 48 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Story has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
Rafael Devers 68 .328 .383 .599 16 43 90
Xander Bogaerts 67 .335 .397 .486 6 31 84
J.D. Martínez 59 .330 .396 .535 8 30 76
Trevor Story 62 .223 .304 .424 11 48 53
Alex Verdugo 63 .247 .289 .354 4 33 60

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jonathan Schoop has put up a team-best six home runs.
  • Schoop’s home run total puts him 118th in the majors, and he ranks 165th in RBI.
  • Schoop has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
  • Harold Castro is batting .281 with eight doubles, a triple, four home runs and three walks.
  • Among all major league batters, Castro ranks 189th in home runs and 221st in RBI.
  • Miguel Cabrera leads the Tigers in runs batted in (23) and has racked up a team-high batting average of .300.
  • Javier Baez is batting .209 with 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 10 walks.
Jonathan Schoop 67 .196 .229 .320 6 21 49
Harold Castro 45 .281 .298 .432 4 16 41
Miguel Cabrera 58 .300 .338 .376 3 23 63
Javier Báez 56 .209 .250 .349 5 19 45
Willi Castro 48 .248 .280 .353 2 11 38

Betting Tips for Red Sox vs. Tigers

We have the Tigers on the moneyline at +133 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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