Reds vs. Brewers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/18/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (23-41), led by the red-hot Brandon Drury and his two-game homer streak, are -114 favorites to pick up a win over the Milwaukee Brewers (36-30) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, live from Great American Ball Park. Graham Ashcraft takes the mound for Cincinnati while Jason Alexander is Milwaukee’s starter for the contest.

Reds vs. Brewers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Reds vs. Brewers

Our computer pick: Milwaukee Brewers (-105) and Under (9)

Reds vs. Brewers Game Info

• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Jason Alexander
• Game Day: Saturday, June 18, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Reds Starter Graham Ashcraft

• Ashcraft gets the start for the Reds, his sixth of the season. He is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 28 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last outing on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
• The 24-year-old has put up a 2.22 ERA and 4.8 strikeouts per nine innings in five games this season, while allowing a batting average of .218 to his opponents.
• Ashcraft is looking to pick up his fourth quality start of the year.
• Ashcraft enters this matchup with three outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
• The opposing Brewers offense has a collective .232 batting average, and is 18th in the league with 508 total hits and 11th in MLB play with 286 runs scored. It has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.396) and ranks third in home runs (84) in all of MLB.

Brewers Starter Jason Alexander

• The Brewers will hand the ball to Alexander (0-0) for his fourth start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed seven hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 2.16 and 3.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .328.
• He has earned a quality start one time in three starts this season.
• Alexander has two starts of five or more innings this season in three chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
• The Reds rank 18th in MLB with a .238 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 19th in the league (.381) and 62 home runs.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have entered the game as favorites 15 times this season and won five, or 33.3%, of those games.
• This season, Cincinnati has won five of its 14 games, or 35.7%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 53.3%.
• Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of their 65 games with a total this season.
• In 65 games with a spread this season, the Reds are 31-34-0 ATS.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have come away with five wins in the 11 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 4-5 when favored by -105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.
• Milwaukee and their opponents have hit the over in 32 of their 66 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 66 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 28-38-0 against the spread.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Drury leads the Reds with 14 round-trippers on the year. He’s also hitting .265 with 35 RBI.
• Drury’s home runs rank him 16th in MLB, and he is 35th in RBI.
• Drury carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with three home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Kyle Farmer has a club-best 37 RBI and .289 batting average.
• Farmer is 134th in home runs and 27th in RBI in the majors.
• Farmer heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .579 with a double, a walk and four RBI.
• Tommy Pham is hitting .250 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks.
• Pham will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .268 with three doubles, three home runs, four walks and five RBI.
• Joey Votto is hitting .205 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers with 38 runs batted in while putting up a team-best batting average of .252.
• Tellez is 43rd in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Tellez has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .200 with .
• Christian Yelich is hitting .238 with nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 29 walks.
• Yelich is 81st among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 137th in RBI.
• Willy Adames leads the Brewers with 12 long balls.
• Hunter Renfroe has seven doubles, 11 home runs and 12 walks while hitting .251.

Betting Tips for Reds vs. Brewers

We have the Brewers on the moneyline at -105 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.