Reds vs. Cubs Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/24/2022

Following a two-homer game last time out, Aristides Aquino leads the Cincinnati Reds (12-29) into action as -114 favorites against the Chicago Cubs (17-24). First pitch from Great American Ball Park at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday. Tyler Mahle will get the ball for Cincinnati while Chicago counter with Marcus Stroman.

Reds vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Reds vs. Cubs

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (-104) and Over (8)

Reds vs. Cubs Game Info

• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
• Game Day: Tuesday, May 24, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Reds Starter Tyler Mahle

• Mahle (2-4) takes the mound for the Reds in his 10th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.23 ERA in 43 innings pitched, with 44 strikeouts.
• The righty’s last time out came on Thursday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he went 6 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up two hits.
• The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.23, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in nine games this season. Opponents are batting .232 against him.
• Mahle is looking to claim his third quality start in a row in this outing.
• Mahle is seeking his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He meets a Cubs offense that ranks 15th in the league with 173 runs while batting .232 as a squad. It has a collective .379 slugging percentage (17th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 39 home runs (17th in MLB).
• The 27-year-old ranks 57th in ERA (5.23), 52nd in WHIP (1.349), and 21st in K/9 (9.2) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Cubs Starter Marcus Stroman

• Stroman (1-4) will take to the mound for the Cubs and make his seventh start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.88, a 4 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.149 in six games this season.
• He has earned a quality start two times in six starts this season.
• Stroman has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Reds rank 28th in MLB with a .217 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 25th in the league (.353) and 35 home runs.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Reds have been favored five times and won one of those games.
• Cincinnati is 1-3 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
• The Reds have a 53.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 24 of their 42 chances.
• The Reds are 19-23-0 against the spread in their 42 chances this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have won in 11, or 40.7%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Chicago has been victorious 11 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Chicago have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 20 of 41 chances this season.
• The Cubs have posted a record of 21-20-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury leads the Reds in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (22).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Drury ranks 31st in home runs and 37th in RBI.
• Drury has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .167 with a double and three walks.
• Tommy Pham is batting .221 with five doubles, five home runs and 23 walks.
• Of all MLB hitters, Pham is 60th in homers and 153rd in RBI.
• Tyler Naquin paces the Reds with a team-best batting average of .256.
• Kyle Farmer has 11 doubles, a home run and seven walks while hitting .227.
• Farmer has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .444 with three doubles and three RBI.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .286.
• Happ’s home run total places him 84th in the majors, and he ranks 37th in RBI.
• Happ brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Willson Contreras is batting .258 with seven doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Contreras ranks 60th in homers and 141st in RBI.
• Seiya Suzuki is batting .248 with 12 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 20 walks.
• Patrick Wisdom paces the Cubs in home runs (10) and runs batted in (23).

Betting Tips for Reds vs. Cubs

Our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at -104 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8 runs.