Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/25/2022

The Cincinnati Reds will look to pick up their 37th win of the season when they take on the Miami Marlins (45-50) Monday. The game begins at 6:40 PM ET, with the Reds listed as -122 favorites on the moneyline. Cincinnati’s Nick Lodolo gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Trevor Rogers.

Reds vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Reds vs. Marlins

We have the Marlins on the moneyline at +103 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+103) and Under (9.5)

Reds vs. Marlins Game Info

• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
• Game Day: Monday, July 25, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Reds Starter Nick Lodolo

• Lodolo makes the start for the Reds, his seventh of the season. He is 2-3 with a 5.81 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 26 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Saturday, July 16, the lefty tossed two innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up five earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• The 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.81, with 13.0 strikeouts per nine innings, in six games this season. Opponents are hitting .313 against him.
• So far this season, Lodolo has not recorded a quality start.
• Lodolo is looking to record his fourth start of five or more innings this year in this game.
• He will face a Marlins offense that ranks 24th in the league with 385 runs while batting .237 as a unit. It has a collective .376 slugging percentage (25th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 92 home runs (19th in MLB).

Marlins Starter Trevor Rogers

• The Marlins will hand the ball to Rogers (4-9) for his 19th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, July 17, when he threw six innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 5.46 and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .274.
• In 18 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• Rogers will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Reds are batting .239 this season, 17th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .378 (24th in the league) with 89 home runs.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Reds have won six out of the 18 games, or 33.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Cincinnati has entered 11 games this season favored by -122 or more and is 5-6 in those contests.
• The Reds have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of their 96 games with a total this season.
• The Reds are 45-51-0 against the spread in their 96 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 50 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (36%) in those games.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win 12 times in 39 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 46 of their 95 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Marlins have posted a record of 44-51-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury has accumulated a team-best batting average of .271, while leading the Reds in home runs (18) and runs batted in (54).
• In all of the majors, Drury ranks 22nd in home runs and 24th in RBI.
• Drury carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two doubles, two walks and three RBI.
• Tommy Pham is batting .236 with 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 40 walks.
• Pham is 83rd in homers and 107th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Kyle Farmer is batting .258 with 18 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
• Joey Votto has 17 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 34 walks while batting .215.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas is batting .238 with 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 17 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .285.
• Rojas’ home run total puts him 184th in the big leagues, and he ranks 221st in RBI.
• Rojas brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.
• Garrett Cooper has a club-best .279 batting average.
• Cooper is currently 158th in home runs and 80th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Jesus Aguilar has 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 21 walks while batting .248.
• Jesus Sanchez has 10 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 22 walks while batting .202.