Reds vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/4/2022

The Washington Nationals (19-35) look to Lane Thomas, coming off a three-homer game, in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (18-33) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. The Nationals are +120 underdogs for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Tyler Mahle takes the mound for Cincinnati while Erick Fedde is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Reds vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Reds vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+120) and Over (9.5)

Reds vs. Nationals Game Info

• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Erick Fedde
• Game Day: Saturday, June 4, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Reds Starter Tyler Mahle

• Mahle (2-5 with a 5.53 ERA and 58 strikeouts in 53 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Reds, his 12th of the season.
• His last appearance was on Sunday against the San Francisco Giants, when the righty threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing just one hit.
• The 27-year-old has a 5.53 ERA and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 11 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .233 to opposing hitters.
• Mahle has three quality starts under his belt this year.
• Mahle has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this season heading into this outing.
• The opposing Nationals offense has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.369) and ranks 26th in MLB play with 38 home runs. It has a collective .251 batting average, and is third in MLB with 454 total hits and 17th in MLB action scoring 215 runs.
• This season, the 27-year-old ranks 56th in ERA (5.53), 50th in WHIP (1.379), and 14th in K/9 (9.7) among qualifying pitchers.

Nationals Starter Erick Fedde

• The Nationals will send Fedde (3-4) to the mound for his 11th start this season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed eight hits in 1 1/3 innings against the New York Mets.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in 10 games this season with an ERA of 4.60, a 1.826 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.532.
• In 10 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• In 10 starts this season, Fedde has lasted five or more innings six times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
• The Reds rank 26th in MLB with a .227 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 23rd in the league (.365) and 47 home runs.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been favorites in nine games this season and won three (33.3%) of those contests.
• Cincinnati has played as a favorite of -141 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 58.5%.
• So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 28 of their 52 games with a total.
• The Reds are 24-28-0 against the spread in their 52 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 45 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (31.1%) in those games.
• This season, Washington has been victorious 10 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 45.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• Washington and their opponents have hit the over in 28 of their 55 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 21-34-0 in 55 games with a line this season.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury paces the Reds with eight home runs.
• Among all batters in the majors, Drury is 38th in home runs and 44th in RBI.
• Drury has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with .
• Kyle Farmer’s 28 runs batted in and .263 batting average both pace his team.
• Farmer ranks 93rd in homers in MLB, and 32nd in RBI.
• Farmer carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
• Tommy Pham is batting .234 with six doubles, six home runs and 27 walks.
• Tyler Stephenson is batting .276 with six doubles, four home runs and nine walks.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto leads the Nationals with 10 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Soto’s home run total ranks 23rd and his RBI tally is 150th.
• Josh Bell has a club-high 29 runs batted in and .306 batting average.
• Bell ranks 93rd in homers and 27th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Nelson Cruz is hitting .240 with six doubles, five home runs and 22 walks.
• Cesar Hernandez is batting .276 with 13 doubles, a triple and 14 walks.

Betting Tips for Reds vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +120 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 9.5 runs.