Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (46-72) are +100 underdogs for their meeting with the Cincinnati Reds (46-70) on Friday at 7:05 PM ET. Bryan Reynolds has 99 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at PNC Park. Graham Ashcraft takes the mound for Cincinnati while Bryse Wilson is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Reds vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Reds vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +100 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) and Over (7.5)

Reds vs. Pirates Game Info

• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson
• Game Day: Friday, August 19, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Reds Starter Graham Ashcraft

• Ashcraft gets the start for the Reds, his 16th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 3.96 ERA and 56 strikeouts through 86 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the righty threw 6 1/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, allowing three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
• The 24-year-old has put together a 3.96 ERA and 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings across 15 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .267 to opposing hitters.
• Ashcraft is trying to record his ninth quality start of the season in this outing.
• Ashcraft will look to go five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
• He meets a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in the league with 429 runs while batting .220 as a unit. It has a collective .363 slugging percentage (28th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 117 home runs (18th in MLB).

Pirates Starter Bryse Wilson

• Wilson (2-7) will take the mound for the Pirates, his 14th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 1/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants.
• The 24-year-old has pitched to a 5.93 ERA this season with 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.5 walks per nine across 16 games.
• He has three quality starts in 13 chances this season.
• Wilson will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Reds have scored 486 runs this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They have 919 hits, 24th in baseball, with 108 home runs (20th in the league).
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Reds in one game, and they have gone 7-for-28 with a double, a home run and an RBI over 6 2/3 innings.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Reds have been favored 25 times and won 10, or 40%, of those games.
• Cincinnati has entered 18 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 9-9 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
• Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 118 opportunities.
• The Reds have an ATS record of 56-62-0 in 118 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 37, or 36.3%, of the 102 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 36 times in 100 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have gone over in 53 of their 119 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 119 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 61-58-0 against the spread.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer comes into Friday’s game hitting .265 with 54 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Reds. He has also launched six round-trippers in 2022.
• In all of MLB, Farmer ranks 213th in homers and 63rd in RBI.
• Joey Votto’s 11 home runs pace his team.
• Votto ranks 119th in home runs and 135th in RBI in the majors.
• Nick Senzel is hitting .243 with 11 doubles, three home runs and 20 walks.
• Albert Almora Jr. has 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks while hitting .226.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Reynolds leads the squad with a batting average of .265, and leads the Pirates in home runs, with 20 and runs batted in with 46.
• Reynolds ranks 32nd in homers and 97th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Reynolds carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .500 with a double, four home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
• Ben Gamel is hitting .241 with 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 34 walks.
• Gamel is 242nd in homers and 168th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Michael Chavis is hitting .247 with 13 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 13 walks.
• Kevin Newman is hitting .276 with 13 doubles, two triples and 10 walks.