Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/14/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (56-85) stumble into Wednesday’s matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-88) looking to break a five-game losing streak. The contest starts at 12:35 PM ET with the Reds listed as -160 favorites to right the ship. Cincinnati’s Nick Lodolo gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Roansy Contreras.

Reds vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Reds vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +136 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+136) and Over (8)

Reds vs. Pirates Game Info

• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Roansy Contreras
• Game Day: Wednesday, September 14, 2022
• Game Time: 12:35 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Reds Starter Nick Lodolo

• Lodolo (4-5 with a 3.78 ERA and 102 strikeouts in 81 innings pitched) gets the start for the Reds, his 16th of the season.
• His last appearance came on Saturday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the left-hander threw 8 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.78, with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .247 batting average against him.
• Lodolo is trying to prolong a third-game quality start streak in this game.
• Lodolo will aim to go five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
• The opposing Pirates offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.365) and is 18th in MLB play with 143 home runs. It has a collective .222 batting average, and is 29th in MLB with 1037 total hits and 28th in MLB play scoring 505 runs.

Pirates Starter Roansy Contreras

• The Pirates will send Contreras (5-4) to the mound for his 15th start this season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 5 1/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
• The 22-year-old has pitched to a 3.29 ERA this season with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4 walks per nine across 17 games.
• In 14 starts this season, he’s earned three quality starts.
• Contreras has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Reds rank 18th in MLB with a .240 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 21st in the league (.381) and 140 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Reds to go 4-for-21 with a home run and an RBI in six innings this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 12 (36.4%) of those contests.
• Cincinnati has played as a favorite of -160 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The Reds have a 61.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of their 143 games with a total.
• The Reds are 67-76-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 124 games this year and have walked away with the win 45 times (36.3%) in those games.
• This year, Pittsburgh has won 28 of 88 games when listed as at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 42.4% chance of walking away with the win.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of their 143 opportunities.
• In 143 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 72-71-0 against the spread.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer leads the Reds in runs batted in (65) and has put up a team-best batting average of .263.
• Farmer is 168th in homers and 59th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Jonathan India is batting .260 with 14 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 22 walks.
• Nick Senzel has 12 doubles, four home runs and 28 walks while batting .231.
• Jake Fraley is batting .245 with eight doubles, 10 home runs and 22 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the lineup with a batting average of .256, while leading the Pirates in home runs, with 23 and runs batted in with 54.
• Reynolds is 38th in home runs and 100th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .246 with 21 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 44 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Hayes is 226th in home runs and 200th in RBI.
• Ben Gamel is batting .237 with 19 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 39 walks.
• Michael Chavis is batting .237 with 15 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 17 walks.