Rockies vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/16/2022

by | Jul 16, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Rockies vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/16/2022

The Colorado Rockies (42-49) will put their four-game win streak to the test when they host the Pittsburgh Pirates (38-53) Saturday at 3:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers consider the Rockies -129 favorites to extend their streak, while the Pirates are +109 underdogs looking for the upset. Colorado’s Jose Urena and Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller have been named the starters for this contest.

Rockies vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Rockies vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rockies -129 +109 11.5 -116 -104 -1.5 +131 -157

Computer Predictions for Rockies vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +109 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 11.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+109) and Over (11.5)

Rockies vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Colorado Rockies probable starting pitcher: José Ureña
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
  • Game Day: Saturday, July 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:10 PM ET
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Stadium: Coors Field

Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Ureña Keller
2 GS 15
0-1 W-L 3-6
2.66 ERA 4.88
20.1 IP 83.0
11 BB 32
8 SO 71

Rockies Starter José Ureña

  • Urena (0-1) takes the mound for the Rockies to make his third start of the season.
  • His most recent time out came on Tuesday against the San Diego Padres, when the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • In six games this season, he has a 2.66 ERA and 3.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are batting .253 against him.
  • Urena is trying to build on a second-game quality start streak in this matchup.
  • Urena is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 3.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
  • He will face off against a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in MLB with 655 total hits (on a .220 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .370 (28th in MLB) with 97 total home runs (14th in MLB).
  • Head-to-head against the Pirates this season, Urena has thrown 3 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run on four hits.

Pirates Starter Mitch Keller

  • Keller (3-6) will take the mound for the Pirates, his 16th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on five hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 4.88, a 2.219 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.482.
  • In 15 starts this season, he’s earned four quality starts.
  • Keller will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • The Rockies have scored 422 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They are batting .262 for the campaign with 85 home runs, 21st in the league.
  • The Rockies have gone 5-for-13 with an RBI in 3 1/3 innings this season against the right-hander.

Rockies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rockies have been favorites in 20 games this season and won 12 (60%) of those contests.
  • This season, Colorado has won seven of its 11 games, or 63.6%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 56.3% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 93 games with a total.
  • The Rockies have an ATS record of 50-43-0 in 93 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 75 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (38.7%) in those games.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 25 times in 67 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 38 of their 92 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Pirates have posted a record of 47-45-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • C.J. Cron paces the Rockies with 21 home runs and 69 runs batted in.
  • In all of MLB, Cron ranks 12th in homers and third in RBI.
  • Cron brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
  • Charlie Blackmon has 16 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 23 walks while batting .278.
  • Blackmon ranks 43rd in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Blackmon carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is batting .324 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, four walks and seven RBI.
  • Brendan Rodgers is hitting .257 with 19 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 24 walks.
  • Rodgers will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Connor Joe is batting .267 with 16 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 49 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
C.J. Cron 88 .296 .349 .553 21 69 100
Charlie Blackmon 81 .278 .329 .475 14 52 90
Brendan Rodgers 79 .257 .312 .418 9 47 80
Connor Joe 83 .267 .374 .390 5 23 85
José Iglesias 75 .298 .339 .404 3 33 82

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .252 with 16 doubles, three triples, four home runs and 34 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .328.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Hayes’ home run total is 230th and his RBI tally is 160th.
  • Hayes carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .250 with a double, a triple, a home run, five walks and two RBI.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 33 runs batted in.
  • Vogelbach is currently 58th in homers and 122nd in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Michael Chavis is batting .232 with 10 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 13 walks.
  • Diego Castillo is hitting .208 with nine doubles, 10 home runs and 11 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ke’Bryan Hayes 83 .252 .328 .360 4 27 79
Daniel Vogelbach 73 .228 .331 .431 12 33 53
Michael Chavis 79 .232 .274 .415 10 31 56
Diego Castillo 78 .208 .248 .381 10 25 47
Ben Gamel 57 .243 .330 .379 4 22 43

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