Rockies vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/1/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (3-18) will try to end their five-game losing streak when they visit the Colorado Rockies (12-9) on Sunday at 3:10 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Rockies to be -154 favorites for the contest, while the Reds are +132 underdogs looking for the upset. Colorado’s Kyle Freeland and Cincinnati’s Reiver Sanmartin have been named the starters for this contest.

Rockies vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rockies vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+132) and Over (10.5)

Rockies vs. Reds Game Info

• Colorado Rockies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Reiver Sanmartin
• Game Day: Sunday, May 1, 2022
• Game Time: 3:10 PM ET
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• Stadium: Coors Field

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Rockies Starter Kyle Freeland

• Freeland (0-3 with a 6.16 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 19 innings pitched) makes the start for the Rockies, his fifth of the season.
• The lefty’s last time out came on Monday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing six hits.
• In four games this season, the 28-year-old has an ERA of 6.16, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .313 against him.
• Freeland will aim to go five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 4.2 frames per outing.
• He will face a Reds offense that ranks 28th in MLB with 136 total hits (on a .204 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .311 (29th in MLB) with 14 total home runs (23rd in MLB).

Reds Starter Reiver Sanmartin

• The Reds will hand the ball to Sanmartin (0-3) for his fourth start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up nine earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 10.91, 5.7 strikeouts per nine innings and an opponent batting average of .338.
• Sanmartin has two starts of five or more innings this season in three chances. He averages 3.3 innings per outing.
• The Rockies are batting .262 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .425 (second in the league) with 22 home runs.

Rockies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rockies have been favorites in six games this season and won four (66.7%) of those contests.
• Colorado has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -154.
• The implied probability of a win from the Rockies, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
• Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 10 of their 21 games with a total this season.
• The Rockies are 10-11-0 ATS in their 21 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win three times (16.7%) in those contests.
• This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win three times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +132 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 43.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 11 of their 21 opportunities.
• The Reds have an against the spread mark of 6-15-0 in 21 games with a line this season.

Rockies Leaders & Batting Stats

• C.J. Cron paces the Rockies in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (19).
• Cron’s home runs place him first in the majors, and he ranks third in RBI.
• Connor Joe is batting .272 with five doubles, a triple, four home runs and 10 walks.
• Joe is 21st in home runs in MLB, and 101st in RBI.
• Charlie Blackmon is hitting .257 with five doubles, four home runs and seven walks.
• Blackmon will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• Ryan McMahon has six doubles, a triple, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .261.
• McMahon brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a triple, a home run, five walks and five RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Tommy Pham has a team-best three home runs.
• Pham’s home run total puts him 46th in the majors, and he ranks 151st in RBI.
• Kyle Farmer’s 10 RBI and .253 batting average are both team-highs.
• Farmer is 257th in home runs and 66th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Tyler Naquin has a team-high 10 runs batted in.
• Brandon Drury has collected a team-best three home runs.

Betting Tips for Rockies vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +132 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 10.5 runs.