Royals vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/11/2022

by | Jul 11, 2022

The Kansas City Royals (33-52) are -135 favorites when they play the Detroit Tigers (36-50) on Monday at 8:10 PM ET. Andrew Benintendi has 98 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Kauffman Stadium. Kansas City’s Daniel Lynch gets the start, and he’ll go against Detroit’s Alex Faedo.

Royals vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Royals vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Royals -135 +115 9 -105 -115 -1.5 +145 -173

Computer Predictions for Royals vs. Tigers

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +115. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+115) and Over (9)

Royals vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Alex Faedo
  • Game Day: Monday, July 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Stadium: Kauffman Stadium

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Lynch Faedo
13 GS 11
3-7 W-L 1-4
4.95 ERA 5.02
63.2 IP 52.0
30 BB 21
65 SO 42

Royals Starter Daniel Lynch

  • Lynch makes the start for the Royals, his 14th of the season. He is 3-7 with a 4.95 ERA and 65 strikeouts in 63 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The left-hander last appeared on Thursday, June 23 against the Los Angeles Angels, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • The 25-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.95, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents have a .271 batting average against him.
  • Lynch is looking to pick up his second quality start of the year.
  • Lynch is looking to secure his 10th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • He will face a Tigers offense that ranks 27th in MLB with 642 total hits (on a .229 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .335 (29th in MLB) with 52 total home runs (30th in MLB).

Tigers Starter Alex Faedo

  • Faedo (1-4) will take to the mound for the Tigers and make his 12th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, July 4, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in 3 2/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 5.02, a 2 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.538 in 11 games this season.
  • In 11 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
  • Faedo has seven starts of five or more innings this season in 11 chances. He averages 4.2 innings per outing.
  • The Royals are batting .241 this season, 16th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .377 (25th in the league) with 72 home runs.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Royals have entered the game as favorites 15 times this season and won seven, or 46.7%, of those games.
  • This season, Kansas City has won two of its seven games when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of their 88 opportunities.
  • In 88 games with a spread this season, the Royals are 39-49-0 ATS.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have come away with 28 wins in the 67 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Detroit has won 20 of 52 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 29 of their 86 opportunities.
  • The Tigers have posted a record of 41-45-0 against the spread this season.

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Royals best hitter thus far this season is Benintendi, who’s hitting at a team-leading .313 rate along with three homers and 35 RBI.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Benintendi ranks 265th in homers and 93rd in RBI.
  • Whit Merrifield is batting .234 with 18 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 28 walks.
  • Including all major league hitters, Merrifield is 200th in homers and 85th in RBI.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals in home runs (12) and runs batted in (42).
  • Witt Jr. will look to build on his six-game hitting in this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .244 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Hunter Dozier is hitting .269 with 19 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 22 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Whit Merrifield 84 .234 .287 .337 5 36 79
Andrew Benintendi 84 .313 .384 .396 3 35 98
Bobby Witt Jr. 81 .243 .290 .444 12 42 76
Hunter Dozier 74 .269 .331 .454 9 30 73
Michael A. Taylor 64 .264 .340 .385 5 24 55

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Javier Baez paces the Tigers with nine long balls and runs batted in, driving in 33.
  • Baez ranks 99th in homers and 112th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Jonathan Schoop is batting .212 with 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 12 walks.
  • Schoop is 168th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 203rd in RBI.
  • Miguel Cabrera leads the Tigers’ lineup with a .291 batting average.
  • Harold Castro is hitting .268 with eight doubles, two triples, four home runs and seven walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Javier Báez 73 .214 .253 .375 9 33 60
Jonathan Schoop 82 .212 .248 .320 6 22 65
Miguel Cabrera 74 .291 .329 .351 3 31 78
Harold Castro 56 .268 .297 .399 4 17 49
Jeimer Candelario 67 .190 .254 .315 6 22 44

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