This Wednesday brings plenty of excitements for the bettors with Game 3 of the NBA Finals, but we’ll focus on the most interesting games of the day in Major League Baseball. A few teams are listed as massive favorites which attract our attention to see if there’s any value.
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The New York Yankees visit the Toronto Blue Jays as -175 favorites in the second of a three-game series at Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Yankees entered this series with 11 wins over their last 14 games, while the Blue Jays lost ten of their previous 11 contests, so it’s no strange that the bookies expect the visitors to win.
Also, James Paxton will take the mound for the Yankees who are undefeated in his previous five starts, and the left-hander allowed just three earned runs in that five-game span. Paxton is 3-2 in eight starts this term with a 2.81 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP and 3-3 in his six starts against Toronto. Rookie Trent Thornton will get the ball for the Blue Jays, and he’s 1-4 in 12 starts this season with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP, while the Blue Jays are 4-8 in that 12-game stretch.
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The Yankees have won ten of their last 13 meetings with the Blue Jays prior to their Tuesday’s matchup, and nine of those ten wins came by two or more runs. Hereof, take the Yankees to cover the spread.
The Marlins will take on the Brewers as +190 underdogs in the middle contest of a three-game series at Miller Park in Milwaukee. Miami entered this series on a two-game winnings streak, but they lost nine of their ten encounters with the NL Central this season and seven of their previous road meetings with the Brewers who are topping the NL Central.
Milwaukee will celebrate Jimmy Nelson’s return to the majors after almost two years, as the right-hander suffered a shoulder injury in September 2017. Nelson is 33-44 in his career with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP, and he won his only start against the Marlins who will counter with Sandy Alcantara on this one. Alcantara is 2-5 in 11 starts this season with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP.
The Marlins have lost seven of Alcantara’s last nine starts, but it’s hard to say what can we expect for Nelson. Miami is the most inefficient team in the league with just 3.32 runs per game while recording a .233 batting average (25th in the league) and a .293 on-base percentage (27th), so Nelson could grab a win on his return. Go with the Brewers to win by two or more runs.
Elsewhere, the Texas Rangers will host the Baltimore Orioles in the second contest of a three-game series at Globe Life Park in Arlington. While the Orioles are the worst team in the league, the Rangers hold the wild-card spot in American League.
John Means will get the ball for Baltimore, while Texas will counter with Mike Minor. We’ll see the clash of two left-handers who are 5-4 each this season. The Rangers are 9-10 against the left-handed starting pitcher this term, while the Orioles are just 6-15 against the left-handed starter.
The Orioles pitching staff is the worst in baseball with a 5.75 ERA, whilst the Rangers are the second-most efficient team in the league with 5.67 runs per game. Four of Texas’ last five wins and five of its previous six wins over Baltimore prior to Tuesday’s clash came by two or more runs, so take the Rangers to cover or pick them in the over on their team totals.
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