Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo Sabres NHL Betting Tips and Predictions

by | Apr 9, 2022

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Lightning vs. Sabres Betting Picks & Predictions

The Tampa Bay Lightning (43-20-8) host the Buffalo Sabres (26-36-11) on Sunday, April 10, with both coming off a loss in their last game. The Sabres are heavy underdogs away from home, at +300, and the Lightning are -395. Find more below on the Lightning vs. Sabres betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.

Lightning vs. Sabres Betting Line

Lightning vs Sabres Betting Information
Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Lightning -395 Sabres +300

Lightning vs. Sabres Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, April 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Arena: Amalie Arena

Computer Predictions for Lightning vs. Sabres

Computer picks for Lightning vs Sabres
Over/Under Score Prediction
Over (6) Lightning 4 Sabres 2

Lightning vs. Sabres Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay has gone 41-20 as the oddsmakers’ choice this season.
  • The Lightning have won every game they’ve played this season with moneyline odds lower than -395.
  • The moneyline odds say Tampa Bay has a 79.8% chance of winning this game.

    • Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders

  • Steven Stamkos is one of Tampa Bay’s top contributors with 79 points. He has 32 goals and 47 assists this season.
  • Victor Hedman is contributing with 68 points (19 goals, 49 assists).
  • Brayden Point’s 54 points this season have come via 27 goals and 27 assists.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a record of 35-16-5. He has allowed 138 goals (2.45 goals against average) and racked up 1523 saves.

    • Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats

  • The Lightning score the 10th-most goals in the league, averaging 3.3 per game for a total of 232 this season.
  • On defense, the Lightning are one of the best squads in NHL action, conceding 199 goals to rank eighth.
  • The team has the league’s ninth-best goal differential at +33 this season.
  • The 48 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season have come on 222 power-play chances, ranking them ninth-best in the NHL.
  • The Lightning are 13th in the NHL with a 21.6% power-play conversion rate this season.
  • The Lightning’s offense has scored six shorthanded goals this season (13th among all teams).
  • The Lightning defeat 82.4% of opponent power plays, currently the ninth-best penalty-kill percentage in the NHL.
  • The Lightning’s players win 50.1% of their faceoffs to rank 16th in the league.
  • The Lightning shoot 10.7% as a team, ranked seventh-best in the league.
  • The Lightning average 26.2 hits and 12.6 blocked shots per game.

    • Sabres vs. Lightning Betting Trends

  • The Sabres have been an underdog in 70 games this season, with 24 upset wins (34.3%).
  • Buffalo has six games this season playing as an underdog by +300 or longer, and is 2-4 in those contests.
  • The win probability for the Sabres, implied from the moneyline, is 25.0%.

    • Buffalo Sabres Leaders

  • Tage Thompson’s 32 goals and 26 assists in 69 contests give him 58 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
  • Buffalo’s Jeff Skinner has racked up 54 total points (0.8 per game), with 30 goals and 24 assists.
  • Buffalo’s Rasmus Dahlin has 44 points, courtesy of nine goals (ninth on team) and 35 assists (first).
  • Craig Anderson’s record stands at 14-10-2 on the season, allowing 80 goals (3.1 goals against average) and amassing 732 saves with a .901 save percentage (40th in the league).

    • Buffalo Sabres Season Stats

  • The Sabres’ 200 total goals (2.7 per game) rank 23rd in the NHL.
  • The Sabres’ 256 total goals conceded (3.5 per game) rank 28th in the league.
  • Their 26th-ranked goal differential is -56.
  • The Sabres have put up 40 power-play goals this season (21st in the NHL) on 195 power-play chances.
  • The Sabres’ power-play conversion rate (20.5%) ranks 18th in the league.
  • The Sabres have recorded four shorthanded goals.
  • The 74.9% penalty-kill percentage the Sabres have amassed is the league’s 28th-ranked rate.
  • The Sabres have the league’s 32nd-ranked faceoff win rate (46.2%).
  • The 9.3% shooting percentage the Sabres have compiled ranks 21st in the league.
  • The Sabres have not had a shutout victory yet this season.

    • Lightning and Sabres Injury Report

    Lightning: Ryan McDonagh: Out (Upper-body)

    Sabres: Malcolm Subban: Out For Season (Upper Body), Andrew Oglevie: Out (Undisclosed), Drake Caggiula: Out For Season (Back)

    Betting Tips for Lightning vs. Sabres

    The Lightning on the moneyline (-395) is our best bet after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will finish over the total of 6 goals, with the .

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