Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders NHL Betting Tips and Predictions

by | Mar 26, 2022

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Lightning vs. Islanders Betting Picks & Predictions

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders — the former coming off a victory, the latter a loss — will play on Sunday at 2:00 PM ET, at UBS Arena in Elmont. The sportsbooks have made the Lightning solid favorites at -141 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Islanders are at +119. Find more below on the Lightning vs. Islanders betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.

Lightning vs. Islanders Betting Line

Lightning vs Islanders Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Lightning -1.5 5.5

Lightning vs. Islanders Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Location: Elmont, New York
  • Arena: UBS Arena

Computer Predictions for Lightning vs. Islanders

Computer picks for Lightning vs Islanders
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Islanders (+1.5) Over (5.5) Islanders 4 Lightning 3

Lightning vs. Islanders Betting Trends

  • In 54 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Tampa Bay has won 38 of those games.
  • Through 41 games with moneyline odds shorter than -141 this season, the Lightning have been victorious 31 times.
  • The moneyline odds imply that Tampa Bay has a 58.5% chance of winning this game.

    • Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders

  • Steven Stamkos is one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors with 67 points. He has 28 goals and 39 assists this season.
  • Victor Hedman has 17 goals and 45 assists to total 62 points (1.0 per game).
  • Alex Killorn’s season total of 49 points has come from 19 goals and 30 assists.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy (32-14-4) has a goals against average of 2.4 on the season, and 1371 saves. His .920 save percentage is 10th-best in the league.

    • Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats

  • The Lightning offense’s 207 total goals (3.3 per game) rank 13th in the league.
  • The Lightning are ranked seventh in NHL action for the fewest goals against this season, having conceded 176 total goals (2.8 per game).
  • With a +31 goal differential, they’re ranked ninth-best in the league.
  • The Lightning have recorded 39 power-play goals on 196 power-play chances this season, ranking 17th in the NHL.
  • The Lightning’s offense has the NHL’s 18th-ranked power-play conversion rate (19.9%).
  • The Lightning have scored a total of five shorthanded goals this season.
  • The Lightning kill 81.6% of opponent power plays, currently the 10th-best penalty-kill percentage in the NHL.
  • The Lightning’s players win 50% of their faceoffs to rank 16th in the league.
  • The Lightning shoot 10.9% as a team, ranked fifth-best in the league.
  • The Lightning’s players are looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 25.7 hits and 12.6 blocked shots per game.

    • Islanders vs. Lightning Betting Trends

  • The Islanders have been the underdog 25 times this season, and upset their opponent in four, or 16.0%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 2-11 in games when bookmakers list them +119 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Islanders have a 45.7% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline).

    • New York Islanders Leaders

  • Brock Nelson is among the top options on offense for New York, with 44 points this season. He has recorded 29 goals and 15 assists in 54 games.
  • Mathew Barzal’s 42 points this season, including 12 goals and 30 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for New York.
  • New York’s Noah Dobson has 36 points, courtesy of 10 goals (sixth on team) and 26 assists (second).
  • Ilya Sorokin has a record of 21-13-7 in 42 games this season, conceding 95 goals (2.3 goals against average) with 1208 saves and a .927 save percentage, second-best in the league.

    • New York Islanders Season Stats

  • The Islanders have the league’s 26th-ranked scoring offense (170 total goals, 2.7 per game).
  • The Islanders are one of the toughest defensive squads in the NHL this season, conceding 162 goals (2.6 per game) to rank third.
  • They have a +8 goal differential, which ranks 15th in the league.
  • The Islanders have recorded 31 power-play goals this season, which ranks 27th in the NHL (on 154 power-play chances).
  • The Islanders’ power-play conversion rate (20.1%) ranks 17th in the league.
  • The Islanders have scored three shorthanded goals.
  • The 83.4% of opponent power plays the Islanders kill is the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • The Islanders win 51.6% of their faceoffs. That’s the ninth-best figure in the NHL.
  • The Islanders are shooting 9.4% (19th in the league).
  • The Islanders have not had a shutout victory yet this season.

    • Lightning and Islanders Injury Report

    Lightning: Ryan McDonagh: Out (Upper-body)

    Islanders: Cal Clutterbuck: Out For Season (Shoulder), Scott Mayfield: Out (Lower-body)

    Betting Tips for Lightning vs. Islanders

    We have the Islanders predicted as the best bet on the moneyline in this game, and our pick against the spread is the Islanders (+1.5). Our computer model has the scoring going over the total of 5.5 goals when all is said and done.

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