Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Picks & Predictions
A pair of the Eastern Conference’s top squads face one another on Monday, April 4 when the fourth-place Tampa Bay Lightning (43-18-7) host the third-place Toronto Maple Leafs (44-19-5). The oddsmakers have made the Lightning solid favorites at -148 on the moneyline, and the Maple Leafs are at +120. Find more below on the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Line
Lightning vs Maple Leafs Betting Information
| Favorite |
Moneyline |
Underdog |
Moneyline |
| Lightning |
-148 |
Maple Leafs |
+120 |
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Info
- Game Day: Monday, April 4, 2022
- Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Arena: Amalie Arena
Computer Predictions for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
Computer picks for Lightning vs Maple Leafs
| Score Prediction |
|
Lightning 4 Maple Leafs 3
|
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Trends
In 58 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Tampa Bay has won 41 of those matchups.
In 40 games with lower than -148 moneyline odds this season, the Lightning have won 29.
The moneyline odds say Tampa Bay has a 59.7% chance of winning this game.
Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders
Steven Stamkos is currently one of Tampa Bay’s top contributors (76 total points), having collected 32 goals and 44 assists.
Victor Hedman has 19 goals and 48 assists to total 67 points (1.0 per game).
Brayden Point has 27 goals and 27 assists for Tampa Bay.
Andrei Vasilevskiy has a record of 35-14-4. He has conceded 126 goals (2.4 goals against average) and recorded 1431 saves with a .919 save percentage (11th in the league).
Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats
The Lightning net the 10th-most goals in the league, averaging 3.3 per game for a total of 226 this season.
On defense, the Lightning are one of the best squads in league play, allowing 187 goals to rank seventh.
With a +39 goal differential, they’re ranked eighth-best in the league.
The Lightning’s 47 power-play goals they’ve recorded this season (on 212 power-play chances) are the 10th-most in the NHL.
The Lightning’s offense has the NHL’s 12th-ranked power-play conversion rate (22.2%).
The Lightning have scored a total of six shorthanded goals this season.
The Lightning’s penalty-kill percentage (82.5%) is the league’s eighth-best.
With a 50.1% faceoff win percentage, the Lightning have the 17th-ranked rate in the NHL.
The Lightning connect on 10.9% of their shots, ranking fifth in the league.
The Lightning’s players are looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 25.7 hits and 12.6 blocked shots per game.
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Betting Trends
The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in five games this season, with two upset wins (40.0%).
Toronto has played with moneyline odds of +120 or longer twice this season, and split 1-1.
The Maple Leafs have a 45.5% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline).
Toronto Maple Leafs Leaders
Auston Matthews’ 51 goals and 37 assists in 63 matchups give him 88 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
Mitchell Marner has made a big impact for Toronto this season with 81 points, thanks to 28 goals and 53 assists.
John Tavares has scored 24 goals and contributed 41 assists for Toronto, giving him a point total of 65.
Jack Campbell has a record of 25-9-4 in 41 games this season, conceding 104 goals (2.7 goals against average) with 1100 saves and a .914 save percentage, 17th in the league.
Toronto Maple Leafs Season Stats
The Maple Leafs’ 256 total goals (3.8 per game) are the third-most in the NHL.
The Maple Leafs have given up 206 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 17th.
Their fifth-best goal differential is +50.
The Maple Leafs have scored 54 power-play goals this season, which are second-best in the NHL (on 181 power-play chances).
The Maple Leafs have a league-leading power-play conversion rate of 29.8%.
The Maple Leafs have scored 12 shorthanded goals this season (an NHL high).
The 83.9% of opponent power plays the Maple Leafs kill is the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
The Maple Leafs have the NHL’s top faceoff win rate (55.4%).
The Maple Leafs are shooting 10.9% (fifth in the league).
The Maple Leafs have not had a shutout win yet this season.
Lightning and Maple Leafs Injury Report
Lightning: Ryan McDonagh: Out (Upper-body)
Maple Leafs: Ondrej Kase: Out (Concussion), Rasmus Sandin: Out (Undisclosed), Ilya Lyubushkin: Day To Day (Head), Jack Campbell: Day To Day (Rib), Petr Mrazek: Out (Groin), Jake Muzzin: Out (Concussion)
Betting Tips for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
Our best bet is Lightning on the moneyline at -148 and after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will be under the total of goals.
