Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/26/2022

Following a two-homer game in a win over the Twins, Harold Castro leads the Detroit Tigers (15-28) into action as -144 favorites against the Cleveland Guardians (18-22). First pitch from Comerica Park at 7:10 PM ET on Thursday. Detroit’s Tarik Skubal and Cleveland’s Konnor Pilkington have been named the starters for this contest.

Tigers vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Tigers vs. Guardians

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+123) and Over (7.5)

Tigers vs. Guardians Game Info

• Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Konnor Pilkington
• Game Day: Thursday, May 26, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Detroit, Michigan
• Stadium: Comerica Park

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Tigers Starter Tarik Skubal

• The Tigers are sending Skubal (3-2) out for his ninth start of the season. He is 3-2 with a 1.81 ERA and 50 strikeouts in 44 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Friday, the left-hander tossed five scoreless innings against the Cleveland Guardians while surrendering four hits.
• The 25-year-old has put up an ERA of 1.81, with 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season. Opponents have a .230 batting average against him.
• Skubal has four quality starts under his belt this year.
• Skubal will aim to pitch five or more innings for his eighth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
• The opposing Guardians offense has the 16th-ranked slugging percentage (.386) and ranks 23rd in MLB play with 36 home runs. It has a collective .242 batting average, and is 23rd in MLB with 328 total hits and 17th in MLB action scoring 181 runs.
• Head-to-head against the Guardians this season, Skubal has thrown five innings without giving up an earned run on four hits, while striking out five.
• The 25-year-old’s 1.81 ERA ranks sixth, 1.030 WHIP ranks 18th, and 10.1 K/9 ranks 11th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Guardians Starter Konnor Pilkington

• Pilkington gets the nod for the Guardians and will make his first start of the season.
• The left-hander is making his first start of the year. The 24-year-old did not make an appearance on the mound last season.
• The Tigers have scored 118 runs this season, which ranks 30th in MLB. They are batting .218 for the campaign with 25 home runs, 30th in the league.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Tigers have been favored 12 times and won five, or 41.7%, of those games.
• Detroit is 2-1 this season when entering a game favored by -144 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 59% chance to win.
• So far this season, Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 12 of their 43 games with a total.
• The Tigers are 19-24-0 against the spread in their 43 chances this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have won in 13, or 43.3%, of the 30 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Cleveland has been victorious seven times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Cleveland and their opponents have gone over in 23 of their 44 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Guardians are 22-22-0 against the spread in their 44 games that had a posted line this season.

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jeimer Candelario paces the Tigers with four home runs.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Candelario’s home run total places him 96th, and his RBI tally ranks him 154th.
• Miguel Cabrera’s 16 RBI and .287 batting average both pace his team.
• Cabrera ranks 148th in homers and 126th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Jonathan Schoop has hit a team-high four homers.
• Castro is batting .301 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and two walks.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (11), runs batted in (43) and has posted a team-high batting average of .293.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Ramirez’s home run total ranks sixth and his RBI tally ranks first.
• Ramirez brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs, three walks and nine RBI.
• Myles Straw is batting .240 with nine doubles, a triple and 23 walks.
• Straw is 327th in home runs and 297th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Steven Kwan is batting .257 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 17 walks.
• Owen Miller is batting .273 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 12 walks.

Betting Tips for Tigers vs. Guardians

Our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +123 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.