Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/19/2022

The Minnesota Twins (38-29) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (31-36) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Twins are favored (-119) to win the rubber match, which starts at 4:10 PM ET from Chase Field. Chris Archer takes the mound for Minnesota while Merrill Kelly is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (-100) and Over (9.5)

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Chris Archer
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly
• Game Day: Sunday, June 19, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Chris Archer

• Archer gets the start for the Twins, his 13th of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.35 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 48 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s last time out was on Tuesday against the Seattle Mariners, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering no earned runs while giving up four hits.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.35, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opponents are batting .231 against him.
• So far this year, Archer does not have a quality start.
• Archer heads into this matchup with two outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
• The opposing Diamondbacks offense has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.376) and ranks 11th in MLB play with 76 home runs. It has a collective .216 batting average, and is 27th in MLB with 475 total hits and 23rd in MLB action scoring 272 runs.

Diamondbacks Starter Merrill Kelly

• The Diamondbacks’ Kelly (5-4) will make his 14th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.68 and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .250 in 13 games this season.
• In 13 starts this season, he’s earned five quality starts.
• Kelly will look to pitch five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
• The Twins rank 10th in MLB with 299 runs scored this season. They have a .252 batting average this campaign with 77 home runs (ninth in the league).
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this year, the 33-year-old ranks 41st in ERA (3.68), 56th in WHIP (1.352), and 43rd in K/9 (7.7).

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Twins have won 26 out of the 39 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Minnesota has a record of 25-13, a 65.8% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Twins have a 54.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 31 of their 67 chances.
• The Twins have an ATS record of 32-35-0 in 67 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 59 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (44.1%) in those contests.
• This season, Arizona has been victorious 25 times in 56 chances when named as an underdog of at least -100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
• Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 32 of their 72 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 41-31-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez paces the Twins with a .363 batting average.
• Including all MLB batters, Arraez ranks first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and 55th in slugging.
• Arraez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with a double, three walks and two RBI.
• Byron Buxton has put his power on display as he leads his team with 19 home runs and 33 runs batted in.
• Buxton ranks third in home runs in the majors, and 49th in RBI.
• Max Kepler is hitting .249 with 10 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 27 walks.
• Kepler will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two doubles, two walks and three RBI.
• Gio Urshela has 10 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks while hitting .261.
• Urshela is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 16 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 33.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Walker ranks 11th in homers and 49th in RBI.
• Ketel Marte’s .269 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Marte is 182nd in home runs and 150th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .243 with 13 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks.
• David Peralta is hitting .237 with 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 19 walks.

Betting Tips for Twins vs. Diamondbacks

We have the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at -100 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.