Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/22/2022

by | Jun 22, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/22/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (35-28) and Steven Kwan, coming off a four-hit game, are underdogs (+128) on the moneyline and will look to upset the Minnesota Twins (38-31) on Wednesday at 7:40 PM ET. Minnesota’s Sonny Gray and Cleveland’s Triston McKenzie have been named the starters for this contest.

Twins vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -150 +128 8.5 -112 -108 -1.5 +142 -170

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Guardians

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+128) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Guardians Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie
  • Game Day: Wednesday, June 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Gray McKenzie
8 GS 11
3-1 W-L 4-5
2.09 ERA 2.96
38.2 IP 70.0
10 BB 19
42 SO 61

Twins Starter Sonny Gray

  • Gray (3-1 with a 2.09 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 38 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his ninth of the season.
  • His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Seattle Mariners, when the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
  • In eight games this season, the 32-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.09, with 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .184 against him.
  • Gray enters the outing with three quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Gray will look to last five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 4.3 frames per outing.
  • The opposing Guardians offense has a collective .249 batting average, and is 20th in the league with 536 total hits and 18th in MLB play with 289 runs scored. It has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.387) and ranks 28th in home runs (50) in all of MLB.
  • In 4 1/3 innings over one appearance against the Guardians this season, Gray has a 4.15 ERA and a 1.846 WHIP while his opponents are batting .235.

Guardians Starter Triston McKenzie

  • The Guardians will send McKenzie (4-5) to the mound for his 12th start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 2.96 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .185 in 12 games this season.
  • He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
  • McKenzie has pitched five or more innings in nine straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Twins rank eighth in MLB with a .251 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks eighth in the league (.408) and 78 home runs.
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Twins in one game, and they have gone 3-for-24 with two home runs and three RBI over seven innings.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 24-year-old’s 2.96 ERA ranks 25th, .929 WHIP ranks seventh, and 7.8 K/9 ranks 35th.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 41 times this season and won 26, or 63.4%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 13-5, a 72.2% win rate, when favored by -150 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Twins have a 60% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of their 69 games with a total.
  • In 69 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 32-37-0 ATS.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Guardians have been victorious in 17, or 47.2%, of the 36 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cleveland has come away with a win eight times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Cleveland have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 33 of 68 chances this season.
  • In 68 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 37-31-0 against the spread.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Twins best hitter so far this season is Luis Arraez, who’s hitting at a team-leading .362 clip along with four homers and 24 RBI.
  • In all of the majors, Arraez is 189th in home runs and 140th in RBI.
  • Arraez brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .444 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Byron Buxton’s 19 home runs and 33 runs batted in both lead his team.
  • Buxton is fourth in home runs and 60th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Max Kepler is hitting .243 with 10 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 27 walks.
  • Gio Urshela is batting .251 with 10 doubles, five home runs and 19 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 59 .362 .442 .457 4 24 76
Byron Buxton 51 .228 .312 .570 19 33 44
Max Kepler 59 .243 .336 .391 6 30 49
Gio Urshela 62 .251 .308 .370 5 26 53
Carlos Correa 46 .290 .353 .435 5 21 54

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 16 home runs and 62 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .307.
  • In all of MLB, Ramirez is 13th in home runs and second in RBI.
  • Ramirez takes a hitting streak of 10 games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .405 with nine doubles, two home runs, two walks and nine RBI.
  • Josh Naylor has 12 doubles, eight home runs and 15 walks while batting .283.
  • Naylor ranks 76th in home runs and 33rd in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Owen Miller is hitting .262 with 18 doubles, four home runs and 17 walks.
  • Kwan is batting .281 with seven doubles, two triples, a home run and 22 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 61 .307 .397 .641 16 62 71
Josh Naylor 44 .283 .348 .509 8 37 45
Owen Miller 57 .262 .316 .411 4 31 53
Steven Kwan 52 .281 .364 .360 1 16 50
Andrés Giménez 54 .305 .344 .497 7 34 54

Betting Tips for Twins vs. Guardians

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +128. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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