Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/27/2022

Luis Arraez, batting .349 this season, leads the Minnesota Twins (41-33) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Andres Gimenez (.318 AVG) and the Cleveland Guardians (36-32). Arraez and the Twins are -126 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Progressive Field, beginning at 7:10 PM ET. Minnesota’s Sonny Gray gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Triston McKenzie.

Twins vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Guardians

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +106. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+106) and Under (8)

Twins vs. Guardians Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie
• Game Day: Monday, June 27, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Sonny Gray

• Gray gets the start for the Twins, his 10th of the season. He is 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 42 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the Cleveland Guardians, the righty threw four innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 2.53, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in nine games this season. Opponents are batting .211 against him.
• Gray has three quality starts under his belt this season.
• Gray is looking to pick up his fifth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
• He will face a Guardians offense that ranks 18th in the league with 308 runs while batting .251 as a unit. It has a collective .389 slugging percentage (18th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 54 home runs (28th in MLB).
• Gray has a 5.40 ERA and a 1.920 WHIP against the Guardians this season in 8 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .324 batting average over two appearances.

Guardians Starter Triston McKenzie

• The Guardians will send McKenzie (4-5) to the mound for his 13th start this season.
• The right-hander gave up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
• The 24-year-old has pitched to a 3.51 ERA this season with 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.4 walks per nine across 13 games.
• In 12 starts this season, he’s earned seven quality starts.
• In 12 starts this season, McKenzie has lasted five or more innings nine times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
• The Twins have scored 328 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have 620 hits, seventh in baseball, with 83 home runs (12th in the league).
• The Twins have gone 12-for-44 with a double, a triple, five home runs and nine RBI in two games against the right-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this season, the 24-year-old’s 3.51 ERA ranks 35th, 1.009 WHIP ranks 13th, and 8.0 K/9 ranks 33rd.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Twins have been favored 46 times and won 29, or 63%, of those games.
• Minnesota has entered 42 games this season favored by -126 or more and is 26-16 in those contests.
• The Twins have a 55.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 34 of 74 chances this season.
• The Twins are 34-40-0 ATS in their 74 games with a spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have come away with 18 wins in the 40 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Cleveland has been victorious 15 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of their 73 opportunities.
• The Guardians have an against the spread mark of 39-34-0 in 73 games with a line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Arraez leads the Twins with a team-best batting average of .349.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Arraez is 201st in home runs and 138th in RBI.
• Arraez takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
• Byron Buxton has hit 19 home runs with 35 RBI. Both are team-highs.
• Buxton has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, two triples, three walks and two RBI.
• Max Kepler has 11 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 33 walks while hitting .244.
• Gio Urshela is hitting .253 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 20 walks.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (16) and runs batted in (63).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Ramirez ranks 17th in home runs and second in RBI.
• Gimenez is hitting .318 to lead the lineup.
• Gimenez is 85th in home runs and 53rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Amed Rosario has 10 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 12 walks while hitting .275.
• Josh Naylor is batting .278 with 13 doubles, eight home runs and 15 walks.