Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/9/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Friday when the Minnesota Twins (69-67) and Cleveland Guardians (70-65) take to the field at 8:10 PM ET. Luis Arraez is batting .314 for the Twins (-111 favorites on the moneyline) while Andres Gimenez leads the underdog Guardians (-108) with a .305 average. Minnesota’s Dylan Bundy gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Cal Quantrill.

Twins vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Guardians

Our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at -108 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (-108) and Over (7.5)

Twins vs. Guardians Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
• Game Day: Friday, September 9, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Dylan Bundy

• Bundy gets the start for the Twins, his 25th of the season. He is 8-6 with a 4.34 ERA and 84 strikeouts in 118 1/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Chicago White Sox, when the right-hander threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
• The 29-year-old has put up a 4.34 ERA and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 24 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .258 to his opponents.
• Bundy has two quality starts this year.
• Bundy has pitched five or more innings in a game 17 times this year heading into this matchup.
• He meets a Guardians offense that ranks 23rd in the league with 558 runs while batting .250 as a squad. It has a collective .376 slugging percentage (26th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 102 home runs (29th in MLB).
• Bundy has a 3.6 ERA and a 1.4 WHIP against the Guardians this season in five innings pitched, allowing a .316 batting average over one appearance.

Guardians Starter Cal Quantrill

• The Guardians will send Quantrill (11-5) to the mound for his 27th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 27-year-old has pitched in 26 games this season with an ERA of 3.55 and 6 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .247.
• In 26 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 14 of them.
• In 26 starts this season, Quantrill has lasted five or more innings 23 times, with an average of 5.3 innings per appearance.
• The Twins are batting .248 this season, 12th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .407 (10th in the league) with 158 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Twins to go 8-for-32 with three doubles, two home runs and three RBI in eight innings this season.
• The 27-year-old ranks 32nd in ERA (3.55), 33rd in WHIP (1.197), and 47th in K/9 (6) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Twins have won 49 out of the 79 games, or 62%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Minnesota has a record of 48-30, a 61.5% win rate, when favored by -111 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 68 of their 141 chances.
• The Twins are 67-74-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have come away with 34 wins in the 74 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has a mark of 33-38 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Cleveland and their opponents have gone over in 60 of their 142 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 142 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 73-69-0 against the spread.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Arraez’s .314 average leads the Twins this year. His resume also includes eight homers and driven in 45 RBI.
• Arraez ranks 190th in homers and 138th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Arraez has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .217 with a double and a walk.
• Carlos Correa has 18 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .271.
• Correa ranks 58th in homers in baseball, and 113th in RBI.
• Correa has five straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with two doubles, three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Gio Urshela is hitting .262 with 23 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 30 walks.
• Urshela has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .190 with a double and a walk.
• Max Kepler is batting .231 with 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 49 walks.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 26 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 108.
• In all of the majors, Ramirez is 20th in homers and third in RBI.
• Steven Kwan has 21 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 51 walks while batting .289.
• Among all major league hitters, Kwan is 321st in home runs and 190th in RBI.
• Amed Rosario is hitting .277 with 22 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 23 walks.
• Gimenez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .305.