Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/1/2022

A losing streak will come to an end Friday when the Minnesota Twins (43-36), losers of two straight, take on the Baltimore Orioles (35-42). The Orioles are hoping to avoid their second loss in a row. The Twins are -215 favorites to snap out of their slide when the teams hit the field at Target Field, with first pitch at 8:10 PM ET. Joe Ryan starts for Minnesota while Spenser Watkins is Baltimore’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at +178 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+178) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Orioles Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Joe Ryan
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins
• Game Day: Friday, July 1, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Joe Ryan

• Ryan (6-3 with a 3.20 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 59 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his 12th of the season.
• The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the Colorado Rockies, when he went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
• In 11 games this season, the 26-year-old has put up a 3.20 ERA and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .221 to his opponents.
• Ryan has five quality starts under his belt this year.
• Ryan will try to extend a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per appearance).
• The opposing Orioles offense has a collective .229 batting average, and is 21st in the league with 595 total hits and 22nd in MLB play with 314 runs scored. It has the 21st-ranked slugging percentage (.380) and ranks 16th in home runs (79) in all of MLB.
• Head-to-head against the Orioles this season, Ryan has thrown 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits while striking out three.

Orioles Starter Spenser Watkins

• The Orioles’ Watkins (1-1) will make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up no earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 5.14, a 1.125 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.629.
• In nine starts this season, Watkins has not yet earned a quality start.
• In nine starts, Watkins has pitched through or past the fifth inning three times. He has a season average of 3.3 frames per outing.
• The Twins are batting .253 this season, seventh in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .416 (seventh in the league) with 93 home runs.
• The Twins have gone 7-for-18 with a double, a home run and three RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have entered the game as favorites 48 times this season and won 31, or 64.6%, of those games.
• Minnesota is undefeated in four games this season when favored by -215 or more on the moneyline.
• The Twins have a 68.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 36 of their 80 opportunities.
• In 80 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 38-42-0 ATS.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 71 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (43.7%) in those games.
• This season, Baltimore has been victorious four times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +178 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 36% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Baltimore and their opponents have gone over in 34 of their 78 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 49-29-0 in 78 games with a line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez paces the Twins with a team-best batting average of .340.
• Arraez’s home runs put him 207th in MLB, and he is 136th in RBI.
• Max Kepler is batting .242 with 11 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 35 walks.
• Kepler ranks 92nd in home runs and 68th in RBI on the year.
• Kepler enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Byron Buxton paces the Twins with 20 home runs and 36 runs batted in.
• Gio Urshela is batting .258 with 13 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 20 walks.
• Urshela has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Hays has collected a team-leading 45 runs batted in.
• Hays ranks 53rd in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Cedric Mullins has 18 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 21 walks while batting .258.
• Mullins is currently 137th in homers and 124th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Anthony Santander has 14 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Ryan Mountcastle is batting .271 with 15 doubles, 13 home runs and 14 walks.