Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/2/2022

Entering Saturday’s matchup with the Minnesota Twins (44-36), the Baltimore Orioles (35-43) are on a three-game losing streak. The contest starts at 2:10 PM ET with the Twins listed as -226 favorites, while the are +186 underdogs who may be heading for a fourth straight defeat. Minnesota’s Sonny Gray and Baltimore’s Jordan Lyles have been named the starters for this contest.

Twins vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Orioles

Our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +186 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+186) and Over (9)

Twins vs. Orioles Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
• Game Day: Saturday, July 2, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Sonny Gray

• The Twins are sending Gray (4-1) to make his 11th start of the season. He is 4-1 with a 2.17 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 49 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s last appearance came on Monday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he went 7 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 2.17, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 10 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .202 batting average against him.
• Gray has four quality starts this season.
• Gray will try to collect his sixth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The opposing Orioles offense has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.378) and ranks 17th in MLB play with 79 home runs. It has a collective .227 batting average, and is 23rd in MLB with 599 total hits and 23rd in MLB play scoring 316 runs.

Orioles Starter Jordan Lyles

• Lyles (4-7) will take the mound for the Orioles, his 16th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in 7 2/3 innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Sunday.
• The 31-year-old has pitched to a 5.04 ERA this season with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 15 games.
• He has five quality starts in 15 chances this season.
• Lyles has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Twins rank seventh in MLB with a .252 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks ninth in the league (.415) and 94 home runs.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 31-year-old ranks 61st in ERA (5.04), 62nd in WHIP (1.459), and 45th in K/9 (7.4).

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have entered the game as favorites 49 times this season and won 32, or 65.3%, of those games.
• Minnesota has played as a favorite of -226 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.3% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 36 of their 81 opportunities.
• In 81 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 38-43-0 ATS.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have won in 31, or 43.1%, of the 72 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Baltimore has a win-loss record of 3-12 when favored by +186 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 35% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of their 79 opportunities.
• The Orioles are 50-29-0 against the spread in their 79 games that had a posted line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez’s .343 average leads the Twins this year. His resume also includes four homers and driven in 27 RBI.
• Arraez ranks 210th in homers and 138th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Arraez has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with a double, a triple, a walk and an RBI.
• Byron Buxton has shown off his power as he leads his team with 21 home runs and 38 RBI.
• Buxton ranks sixth in homers and 54th in RBI in the majors.
• Max Kepler has 11 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 36 walks while hitting .240.
• Gio Urshela is batting .255 with 13 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 20 walks.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Hays has sent home a team-high 45 runs batted in.
• Hays is 53rd in home runs and 26th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Cedric Mullins is batting .258 with 19 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 21 walks.
• Mullins is currently 146th in home runs and 124th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Anthony Santander leads the Orioles with 14 long balls.
• Ryan Mountcastle is batting .275 with 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 14 walks.