Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/3/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (35-43) will try to end their four-game losing streak when they visit the Minnesota Twins (44-36) on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Twins to be -171 favorites for the contest, while the Orioles are +146 underdogs looking for the upset. Minnesota’s Devin Smeltzer gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Tyler Wells.

Twins vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Orioles

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +146. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+146) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Orioles Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Devin Smeltzer
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
• Game Day: Sunday, July 3, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Devin Smeltzer

• Smeltzer (4-1) takes the mound for the Twins in his 10th start of the season. He has a 2.86 ERA in 50 1/3 innings pitched, with 31 strikeouts.
• In his most recent time out on Tuesday against the Cleveland Guardians, the lefty went 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
• In nine games this season, the 26-year-old has put up a 2.86 ERA and 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .220 to opposing hitters.
• Smeltzer is trying to build on a second-game quality start streak in this game.
• Smeltzer will try to extend a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance).
• The opposing Orioles offense has a collective .227 batting average, and is 24th in the league with 599 total hits and 23rd in MLB action with 316 runs scored. It has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.378) and ranks 17th in home runs (79) in all of MLB.

Orioles Starter Tyler Wells

• Wells (6-4) will take to the mound for the Orioles and make his 16th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on one hit in a matchup with the Seattle Mariners.
• The 27-year-old has pitched to a 3.23 ERA this season with 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.1 walks per nine across 15 games.
• He has four quality starts in 15 chances this season.
• Wells has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Twins have scored 359 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB. They have 676 hits, fifth in baseball, with 94 home runs (10th in the league).
• The right-hander has faced the Twins one time this season, allowing them to go 4-for-18 with a double and an RBI in five innings.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have won 33, or 66%, of the 50 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Minnesota has entered 14 games this season favored by -171 or more and is 12-2 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 63.1% chance to win.
• Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 82 games with a total this season.
• The Twins are 38-44-0 against the spread in their 82 chances this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have come away with 31 wins in the 73 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Baltimore has a win-loss record of 14-23 when favored by +146 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 40.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Baltimore and their opponents have gone over in 34 of their 80 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Orioles are 51-29-0 against the spread in their 80 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez leads the Twins with a .345 batting average.
• Arraez ranks 212th in homers and 138th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Arraez brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with three doubles, a triple, a walk and an RBI.
• Byron Buxton has shown off his power as he leads his team with 21 home runs and 38 RBI.
• Buxton ranks sixth in homers and 54th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Max Kepler is batting .237 with 11 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 37 walks.
• Gio Urshela has 13 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 20 walks while hitting .260.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Hays has a team-leading 45 runs batted in.
• Hays’ home run total puts him 54th in the big leagues, and he is 26th in RBI.
• Cedric Mullins is batting .258 with 19 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 22 walks.
• Mullins ranks 148th among all batters in MLB in homers, and 124th in RBI.
• Anthony Santander has 15 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Ryan Mountcastle is batting .275 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 15 walks.