Twins vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/8/2022

The Minnesota Twins (47-38) will look to Jorge Polanco, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Texas Rangers (37-43) Friday at 8:05 PM ET. The Twins are -120 favorites for the contest, according to oddsmakers. Sonny Gray will get the ball for Minnesota while Texas counter with Martin Perez.

Twins vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Rangers

After looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Rangers on the moneyline at +100. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+100) and Over (7.5)

Twins vs. Rangers Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
• Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
• Game Day: Friday, July 8, 2022
• Game Time: 8:05 PM ET
• Location: Arlington, Texas
• Stadium: Globe Life Field

Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Sonny Gray

• The Twins will send Gray (4-1) to the mound to make his 12th start of the season. He is 4-1 with a 2.47 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 54 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 2.47, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opponents have a .213 batting average against him.
• Gray has four quality starts under his belt this season.
• Gray will try to go five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.3 innings per outing.
• He will face a Rangers offense that ranks 16th in the league with 352 runs while batting .237 as a unit. It has a collective .395 slugging percentage (14th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 105 home runs (seventh in MLB).

Rangers Starter Martín Pérez

• The Rangers will send Perez (7-2) to the mound for his 17th start this season.
• The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the New York Mets on Saturday.
• The 31-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 2.34, a 3.24 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.160.
• In 16 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 12 of them.
• Pérez has 14 starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Twins rank seventh in MLB with 386 runs scored this season. They have a .252 batting average this campaign with 105 home runs (seventh in the league).
• The 31-year-old ranks eighth in ERA (2.34), 34th in WHIP (1.160), and 52nd in K/9 (7.3) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Twins have been favored 51 times and won 33, or 64.7%, of those games.
• Minnesota has entered 49 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 31-18 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 54.5% chance to win.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 38 of their 86 chances.
• The Twins are 41-45-0 ATS in their 86 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rangers have come away with 26 wins in the 52 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Texas has a win-loss record of 23-22 when favored by +100 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Texas and their opponents have gone over in 35 of their 81 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 81 games with a line this season, the Rangers have a mark of 46-35-0 against the spread.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez paces the Twins with a team-high batting average of .354.
• In all of the majors, Arraez is 224th in home runs and 141st in RBI.
• Arraez has collected a hit in seven straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .400 with five doubles, a triple, a walk and three RBI.
• Max Kepler is batting .231 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 40 walks.
• Kepler is 90th in homers and 78th in RBI on the year.
• Byron Buxton paces the Twins with 22 home runs.
• Polanco’s 44 runs batted in pace his team.
• Polanco is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with four home runs, four walks and eight RBI.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Corey Seager has racked up a team-high 16 home runs.
• Seager is 24th in home runs and 61st in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Adolis Garcia has racked up 51 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Garcia is currently 29th in homers and 18th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Marcus Semien is hitting .238 with 13 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 25 walks.
• Nate Lowe paces the Rangers with a team-high batting average of .285.