Twins vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

by | Aug 18, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Twins vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

Adolis Garcia (15 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Texas Rangers (53-65) and Minnesota Twins (61-55) meet Friday at 8:10 PM ET, live from Target Field. Adolis Garcia and the Rangers are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by bookmakers (+119). Minnesota’s Dylan Bundy gets the start, and he’ll go against Texas’ Martin Perez.

Twins vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Rangers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -140 +119 8 -113 -107 -1.5 +144 -168

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Rangers

Our best bet is the Rangers on the moneyline at +119 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+119) and Over (8)

Twins vs. Rangers Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy
  • Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
  • Game Day: Friday, August 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Bundy Pérez
20 GS 23
6-5 W-L 9-3
4.76 ERA 2.79
98.1 IP 142.0
21 BB 46
75 SO 125

Twins Starter Dylan Bundy

  • Bundy makes the start for the Twins, his 21st of the season. He is 6-5 with a 4.76 ERA and 75 strikeouts through 98 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels, the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering two hits.
  • In 20 games this season, the 29-year-old has an ERA of 4.76, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .265 against him.
  • Bundy is trying to secure his third quality start of the season.
  • Bundy is trying to secure his 15th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • The opposing Rangers offense has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.396) and is ninth in MLB play with 141 home runs. It has a collective .241 batting average, and is 16th in MLB with 966 total hits and 14th in MLB action scoring 526 runs.
  • Bundy has pitched five innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits while striking out four against the Rangers this season.

Rangers Starter Martín Pérez

  • The Rangers will hand the ball to Perez (9-3) for his 24th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 2.79, a 2.717 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.197 in 23 games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start 16 times in 23 starts this season.
  • Pérez will look to pitch five or more innings for the 22nd start in a row.
  • The Twins rank 15th in MLB with 522 runs scored this season. They have a .252 batting average this campaign with 142 home runs (eighth in the league).
  • The Twins have gone 7-for-25 with three doubles, two home runs and six RBI in six innings this season against the left-hander.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 31-year-old ranks 13th in ERA (2.79), 38th in WHIP (1.197), and 36th in K/9 (7.9).

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season and won 43, or 63.2%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has entered 47 games this season favored by -140 or more and is 32-15 in those contests.
  • The Twins have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of their 117 opportunities.
  • The Twins are 58-59-0 against the spread this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 71 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (47.9%) in those games.
  • This season, Texas has come away with a win 19 times in 42 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 119 opportunities.
  • In 119 games with a line this season, the Rangers have a mark of 65-54-0 against the spread.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez’s .335 average leads the Twins this year. His resume also includes six homers and driven in 38 RBI.
  • In all of the majors, Arraez is 212th in homers and 155th in RBI.
  • Arraez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .381 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
  • Jorge Polanco’s 55 runs batted in pace his team.
  • Polanco is 65th in home runs and 59th in RBI on the year.
  • Byron Buxton has hit a team-best 28 home runs.
  • Carlos Correa is batting .272 with 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in eight straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .313 with a home run, eight walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 104 .335 .400 .442 6 38 132
Jorge Polanco 95 .235 .342 .404 15 55 82
Byron Buxton 89 .227 .305 .538 28 51 75
Carlos Correa 92 .272 .354 .436 14 39 95
Gio Urshela 98 .266 .308 .429 11 49 90

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Corey Seager has launched a team-best 26 home runs.
  • Seager is 12th in homers and 37th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
  • Seager takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with two doubles and an RBI.
  • Marcus Semien has 18 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .234.
  • Semien is 39th in homers and 42nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Garcia leads the Rangers with 74 runs batted in.
  • Nate Lowe leads the Rangers with a team-high batting average of .289.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Corey Seager 112 .252 .329 .470 26 60 110
Marcus Semien 117 .234 .294 .398 18 58 111
Adolis García 114 .254 .302 .450 19 74 114
Nate Lowe 113 .289 .341 .465 17 52 123
Jonah Heim 93 .256 .328 .451 13 43 79

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