Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/29/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Monday when the Minnesota Twins (65-61) and Boston Red Sox (62-66) take to the field at 7:40 PM ET. Luis Arraez is batting .318 for the Twins (-141 favorites on the moneyline) while Xander Bogaerts leads the underdog Red Sox (+119) with a .303 average. Dylan Bundy starts for Minnesota while Brayan Bello is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Red Sox

Our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +119 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+119) and Over (9)

Twins vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
• Game Day: Monday, August 29, 2022
• Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Dylan Bundy

• Bundy makes the start for the Twins, his 23rd of the season. He is 7-6 with a 4.56 ERA and 77 strikeouts in 108 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance came on Thursday against the Houston Astros, when the righty went five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
• In 22 games this season, the 29-year-old has put up a 4.56 ERA and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .256 to opposing batters.
• Bundy has two quality starts under his belt this year.
• Bundy will try to go five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 4.3 frames per outing.
• He will face a Red Sox squad that is batting .257 as a unit (sixth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .410 (ninth in MLB) with 122 total home runs (19th in MLB).
• Bundy has thrown 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out six against the Red Sox this season.

Red Sox Starter Brayan Bello

• Bello (0-3) will take the mound for the Red Sox, his fifth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in five innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday.
• The 23-year-old has pitched in six games this season with an ERA of 7.36, a 1.833 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 2.091.
• In four starts this season, Bello has lasted five or more innings one time, with an average of 3.2 innings per appearance.
• The Twins rank 11th in MLB with a .249 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks ninth in the league (.410) and 149 home runs.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 75 games this season and won 47 (62.7%) of those contests.
• Minnesota has a record of 32-17, a 65.3% win rate, when favored by -141 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 58.5% chance to win.
• So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of their 127 games with a total.
• The Twins are 60-67-0 ATS in their 127 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 25, or 40.3%, of the 62 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Boston has a mark of 13-22 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 58 of 128 chances this season.
• The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 64-64-0 in 128 games with a line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Arraez is the Twins best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .318 clip along with seven homers and 41 RBI.
• Arraez ranks 199th in home runs and 147th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jorge Polanco has racked up 56 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Polanco is 60th in homers in baseball, and 70th in RBI.
• Carlos Correa is batting .276 with 16 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 47 walks.
• Correa has at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
• Gio Urshela is batting .267 with 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 26 walks.
• Urshela brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, two walks and an RBI.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers has a team-leading 25 home runs and has driven in 65 runs.
• Devers’ home run total places him 21st in the big leagues, and he is 36th in RBI.
• Bogaerts has a club-best .303 batting average.
• Bogaerts is currently 129th in home runs and 76th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .283 with 32 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 30 walks.
• Tommy Pham has 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .249.