Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/30/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Tuesday when the Minnesota Twins (66-61) and Boston Red Sox (62-67) take to the field at 7:40 PM ET. Luis Arraez is batting .320 for the Twins (-132 favorites on the moneyline) while Xander Bogaerts leads the underdog Red Sox (+111) with a .305 average. Minnesota’s Chris Archer and Boston’s Kutter Crawford have been named the starters for this contest.

Twins vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Red Sox

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +111. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+111) and Over (9)

Twins vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Chris Archer
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 30, 2022
• Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Chris Archer

• Archer gets the start for the Twins, his 23rd of the season. He is 2-7 with a 4.34 ERA and 78 strikeouts in 91 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Friday against the Houston Astros, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up eight hits.
• The 33-year-old has put up a 4.34 ERA and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings across 22 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .223 to his opponents.
• So far this year, Archer does not have a quality start.
• Archer has pitched five or more innings in a game five times this year heading into this game.
• He will take the mound against a Red Sox offense that ranks third in MLB with 1147 total hits (on a .257 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .409 (ninth in MLB) with 122 total home runs (20th in MLB).

Red Sox Starter Kutter Crawford

• Crawford (3-5) will take to the mound for the Red Sox and make his 12th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 5.30 and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .271 in 20 games this season.
• He has four quality starts in 11 chances this season.
• In 11 starts this season, Crawford has lasted five or more innings nine times, with an average of 3.2 innings per appearance.
• The Twins rank 14th in MLB with 560 runs scored this season. They have a .249 batting average this campaign with 149 home runs (10th in the league).
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Twins in one game, and they have gone 2-for-7 with four RBI over 1 2/3 innings.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Twins have won 48 out of the 76 games, or 63.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, Minnesota has won 38 of its 60 games, or 63.3%, when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline.
• The Twins have a 56.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 58 of their 128 chances.
• The Twins have an ATS record of 61-67-0 in 128 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 25, or 39.7%, of the 63 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Boston has been victorious 15 times in 42 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 129 opportunities.
• The Red Sox are 64-65-0 against the spread in their 129 games that had a posted line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Arraez has racked up a team-high batting average of .320.
• Arraez’s home runs put him 200th in the majors, and he ranks 148th in RBI.
• Arraez takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
• Jorge Polanco has collected 56 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Polanco ranks 62nd in home runs and 71st in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Carlos Correa is hitting .274 with 16 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 48 walks.
• Gio Urshela has 21 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 28 walks while batting .268.
• Urshela has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with two doubles, four walks and four RBI.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 25 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 65.
• In all of the majors, Devers ranks 21st in homers and 37th in RBI.
• Bogaerts has a club-leading .305 batting average.
• Bogaerts ranks 132nd in homers and 76th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .282 with 33 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 30 walks.
• Tommy Pham is batting .251 with 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 46 walks.