Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/31/2022

The Minnesota Twins (67-61) host the Boston Red Sox (62-68) at 7:40 PM ET Wednesday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Luis Arraez is batting .319 this year (fourth in the league) for the favored Twins (-137), while Xander Bogaerts ranks ninth in the majors with a .306 average for the underdog Red Sox. Joe Ryan will get the ball for Minnesota while Boston counter with Michael Wacha.

Twins vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Red Sox

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +115. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+115) and Over (8)

Twins vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Joe Ryan
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 31, 2022
• Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Joe Ryan

• Ryan (10-6 with a 3.65 ERA and 113 strikeouts in 113 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Twins, his 22nd of the season.
• In his last appearance on Saturday, the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the San Francisco Giants while surrendering two hits.
• The 26-year-old has a 3.65 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings in 21 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .217 to his opponents.
• Ryan is trying to prolong a second-game quality start streak in this outing.
• Ryan will look to extend a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing).
• The opposing Red Sox offense has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.409) and ranks 20th in MLB play with 122 home runs. It has a collective .257 batting average, and is third in MLB with 1154 total hits and ninth in MLB action scoring 583 runs.
• Ryan has thrown six innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out seven against the Red Sox this season.

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

• Wacha (9-1) will take to the mound for the Red Sox and make his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 2.53 and 7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .207 in 16 games this season.
• In 16 starts this season, he’s earned four quality starts.
• Wacha has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Twins rank 11th in MLB with a .249 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks ninth in the league (.411) and 152 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Twins to go 1-for-15 in five innings this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 49 (63.6%) of those contests.
• Minnesota has a record of 35-21, a 62.5% win rate, when favored by -137 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 59 of their 129 chances.
• In 129 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 62-67-0 ATS.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have won in 25, or 39.1%, of the 64 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win 13 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 46.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• Boston’s games have gone over the total in 59 of their 130 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 64-66-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Arraez leads the Twins with a .319 batting average.
• Arraez’s home runs rank him 205th in MLB, and he ranks 147th in RBI.
• Arraez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two walks and two RBI.
• Jorge Polanco has put up 56 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Polanco ranks 64th in homers in the majors, and 73rd in RBI.
• Carlos Correa is hitting .274 with 16 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 49 walks.
• Gio Urshela is batting .268 with 22 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 28 walks.
• Urshela has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with three doubles, four walks and four RBI.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 25 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 66.
• Devers’ home run total places him 21st in the big leagues, and he ranks 33rd in RBI.
• Bogaerts is hitting .306 to lead the lineup.
• Bogaerts ranks 135th in homers and 77th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .284 with 34 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 31 walks.
• Tommy Pham is hitting .251 with 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 47 walks.