Twins vs. Royals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/29/2022

The Minnesota Twins (28-19) host the Kansas City Royals (16-29) at 2:10 PM ET Sunday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Luis Arraez is batting .359 this year (third in the league) for the favored Twins (-180), while Andrew Benintendi ranks ninth in the majors with a .323 average for the underdog Royals. Minnesota’s Sonny Gray gets the start, and he’ll go against Kansas City’s Zack Greinke.

Twins vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Royals

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+157) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Royals Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
• Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Zack Greinke
• Game Day: Sunday, May 29, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Sonny Gray

• Gray (2-1) gets the starting nod for the Twins in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 2.60 ERA in 27 2/3 innings pitched, with 35 strikeouts.
• His most recent appearance came on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, when the right-hander threw seven scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
• The 32-year-old has a 2.60 ERA and 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings in six games this season, while giving up a batting average of .204 to his opponents.
• Gray is trying to secure his third straight quality start in this game.
• Gray is aiming for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Royals offense has a collective .238 batting average, and is 13th in the league with 364 total hits and 25th in MLB play with 173 runs scored. It has the 21st-ranked slugging percentage (.366) and ranks 26th in home runs (34) in all of MLB.

Royals Starter Zack Greinke

• The Royals’ Greinke (0-3) will make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings while giving up seven earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• The 38-year-old has an ERA of 4.53 and 4.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .286 in nine games this season.
• In nine starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• In nine starts, Greinke has pitched through or past the fifth inning seven times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
• The Twins are batting .249 this season, eighth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .393 (13th in the league) with 46 home runs.
• The Twins have gone 6-for-18 with an RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.
• The 38-year-old’s 4.53 ERA ranks 48th, 1.301 WHIP ranks 44th, and 4.3 K/9 ranks 57th among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have won 21, or 70%, of the 30 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Minnesota has won six of its eight games when favored by at least -180 on the moneyline.
• The Twins have a 64.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 20 of their 47 chances.
• The Twins are 22-25-0 against the spread this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Royals have been victorious in 15, or 35.7%, of the 42 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Kansas City has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +157 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 38.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 24 of their 49 opportunities.
• The Royals are 21-28-0 against the spread in their 49 games that had a posted line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Max Kepler has six doubles, a triple, six home runs and 22 walks while hitting .247.
• Kepler is 49th in homers and 58th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Arraez’s .359 batting average leads his team.
• Arraez ranks 276th in home runs and 187th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Arraez has eight straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .475 with two doubles, seven walks and five RBI.
• Jorge Polanco leads the Twins with 26 runs batted in.
• Byron Buxton’s 11 home runs lead his team.
• Buxton is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .087 with a double.

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals in home runs (six) and runs batted in (24).
• Witt Jr. is 49th in homers and 40th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Witt Jr. brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .435 with four doubles, a triple, two home runs and eight RBI.
• Benintendi is hitting .323 to lead the lineup.
• Among all major league hitters, Benintendi ranks 210th in homers and 111th in RBI.
• Whit Merrifield is batting .216 with nine doubles, three home runs and 12 walks.
• Hunter Dozier is hitting .282 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and 12 walks.

Betting Tips for Twins vs. Royals

Our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at +157 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.