Twins vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/17/2022

The Minnesota Twins (60-55) and Gio Urshela (four hits last time out) are favored (-191) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Kansas City Royals (48-70) on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET. Tyler Mahle will get the ball for Minnesota while Kansas City counter with Daniel Lynch.

Twins vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Royals

Our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at +161 after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+161) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Royals Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
• Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 17, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Tyler Mahle

• Mahle makes the start for the Twins, his 22nd of the season. He is 6-7 with a 4.26 ERA and 125 strikeouts in 116 1/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he went 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
• The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.26, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents are hitting .228 against him.
• Mahle has collected 10 quality starts this year.
• Mahle is looking for his 12th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He will face a Royals squad that is hitting .246 as a unit (13th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .382 (20th in MLB) with 100 total home runs (26th in MLB).
• The 27-year-old ranks 48th in ERA (4.26), 41st in WHIP (1.212), and 11th in K/9 (9.7) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Royals Starter Daniel Lynch

• Lynch (4-7) will take the mound for the Royals, his 19th start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he allowed two hits in 5 2/3 scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
• The 25-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 4.52 and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .271.
• He has started 18 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
• Lynch will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• The Twins rank 14th in MLB with 518 runs scored this season. They have a .252 batting average this campaign with 141 home runs (eighth in the league).
• The Twins have gone 16-for-57 with two doubles and six RBI in three games against the left-hander this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 67 games this season and won 42 (62.7%) of those contests.
• Minnesota has a record of 11-1 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -191 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 65.6% chance to win.
• Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 116 games with a total this season.
• The Twins have an ATS record of 57-59-0 in 116 games with a spread this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Royals have been victorious in 39, or 39.4%, of the 99 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 7-25 when favored by +161 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 38.3% chance of walking away with the win.
• Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 121 opportunities.
• In 121 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 57-64-0 against the spread.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez paces the Twins with a team-best batting average of .336.
• Among all MLB hitters, Arraez is first in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and 52nd in slugging.
• Arraez takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
• Jorge Polanco has collected 55 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Polanco ranks 64th in home runs and 57th in RBI on the year.
• Byron Buxton has a team-best 28 home runs.
• Buxton will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Carlos Correa has 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 44 walks while batting .272.
• Correa takes a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 outings he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, eight walks and two RBI.

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bobby Witt Jr. has put up a team-high batting average of .251 while leading the Royals in runs batted in with a mark of 57.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Witt Jr.’s home run total ranks 64th and his RBI tally ranks 47th.
• MJ Melendez is hitting .225 with 14 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 42 walks.
• Melendez is currently 75th in homers and 128th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Salvador Perez has 17 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Nicky Lopez is hitting .247 with 11 doubles, two triples and 23 walks.