Twins vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/13/2022

by | Sep 12, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Twins vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/13/2022

The Minnesota Twins (69-70) will take on the Kansas City Royals (57-83) on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET. Michael A. Taylor will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the underdog Royals (+170) when the game gets underway at Target Field. Minnesota’s Joe Ryan and Kansas City’s Kris Bubic have been named the starters for this contest.

Twins vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -200 +170 8 -115 -105 -1.5 +105 -125

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Royals

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at +170. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+170) and Over (8)

Twins vs. Royals Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Joe Ryan
  • Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Kris Bubic
  • Game Day: Tuesday, September 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Ryan Bubic
23 GS 23
10-8 W-L 2-11
4.05 ERA 5.40
122.1 IP 111.2
39 BB 54
124 SO 88

Twins Starter Joe Ryan

  • The Twins will send Ryan (10-8) out to make his 24th start of the season. He is 10-8 with a 4.05 ERA and 124 strikeouts through 122 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the right-hander threw four innings against the New York Yankees, allowing four earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.05, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opponents are batting .222 against him.
  • Ryan has eight quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Ryan is trying to secure his 17th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • The opposing Royals offense has a collective .243 batting average, and is 13th in the league with 1147 total hits and 24th in MLB play with 553 runs scored. It has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.378) and ranks 26th in home runs (120) in all of MLB.
  • Ryan has a 1.59 ERA and a 1.059 WHIP against the Royals this season in 17 innings pitched, allowing a .210 batting average over three appearances.

Royals Starter Kris Bubic

  • The Royals’ Bubic (2-11) will make his 24th start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in 6 1/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 5.40 and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .293 in 24 games this season.
  • He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
  • Bubic has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Twins have scored 605 runs this season, which ranks 17th in MLB. They have 1168 hits, 12th in baseball, with 159 home runs (13th in the league).
  • The Twins have gone 10-for-24 with a double and four RBI in one game against the left-hander this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 80 times this season and won 49, or 61.3%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 8-1 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -200 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 66.7% chance to win.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of their 144 opportunities.
  • The Twins are 67-77-0 against the spread in their 144 chances this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Royals have come away with 47 wins in the 118 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious five times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +170 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 37% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 69 of their 144 opportunities.
  • In 144 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 70-74-0 against the spread.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez’s .315 average leads the Twins this year. His resume also includes eight homers and driven in 46 RBI.
  • Arraez’s home runs place him 197th in MLB, and he is 142nd in RBI.
  • Arraez takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .333 with four doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Carlos Correa has 18 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .278.
  • Of all MLB hitters, Correa is 55th in home runs and 95th in RBI.
  • Gio Urshela is hitting .267 with 23 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Urshela is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Max Kepler is hitting .227 with 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 49 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 125 .315 .376 .427 8 46 152
Carlos Correa 115 .278 .355 .453 19 54 122
Gio Urshela 121 .267 .313 .414 11 54 112
Max Kepler 115 .227 .318 .348 9 43 88
Jose Miranda 102 .275 .330 .447 14 61 99

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 20 home runs and 71 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .249.
  • Witt Jr.’s home run total puts him 51st in MLB, and he ranks 38th in RBI.
  • Witt Jr. has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .278 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
  • Salvador Perez has shown off his power as he paces his team with 20 home runs.
  • Perez ranks 51st in homers and 49th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • MJ Melendez has 16 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 55 walks while batting .219.
  • Taylor has nine doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 33 walks while hitting .269.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bobby Witt Jr. 130 .249 .292 .441 20 71 126
Salvador Pérez 97 .244 .282 .456 20 67 92
MJ Melendez 108 .219 .314 .391 15 52 83
Michael A. Taylor 110 .269 .331 .385 9 42 98
Nicky Lopez 130 .240 .295 .289 0 19 98

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