Twins vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/15/2022

The Minnesota Twins (71-70) will meet the Kansas City Royals (57-85) on Thursday at 7:40 PM ET. Michael A. Taylor will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the underdog Royals (+148) when the game gets underway at Target Field. Dylan Bundy will get the ball for Minnesota while Kansas City counter with Daniel Lynch.

Twins vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Royals

Our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at +148 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+148) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Royals Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy
• Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch
• Game Day: Thursday, September 15, 2022
• Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Dylan Bundy

• The Twins will send Bundy (8-7) to make his 26th start of the season. He is 8-7 with a 4.68 ERA and 85 strikeouts through 123 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Saturday, the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians, allowing seven earned runs while surrendering 12 hits.
• In 25 games this season, the 29-year-old has put up a 4.68 ERA and 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .269 to opposing batters.
• Bundy has recorded two quality starts this year.
• Bundy heads into this matchup with 17 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
• The opposing Royals offense has a collective .242 batting average, and is 17th in the league with 1154 total hits and 24th in MLB play with 556 runs scored. It has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.376) and ranks 28th in home runs (120) in all of MLB.

Royals Starter Daniel Lynch

• The Royals will hand the ball to Lynch (4-10) for his 24th start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed 10 hits in 3 2/3 innings against the Detroit Tigers.
• The 25-year-old has an ERA of 5.08, a 2.283 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.585 in 23 games this season.
• In 23 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• Lynch has 14 starts of five or more innings this season in 23 chances. He averages 4.3 innings per outing.
• The Twins have scored 615 runs this season, which ranks 17th in MLB. They are batting .249 for the campaign with 162 home runs, 12th in the league.
• The left-hander has faced the Twins four times this season, allowing them to go 21-for-81 with three doubles, a home run and nine RBI in 20 innings.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Twins have been favored 82 times and won 51, or 62.2%, of those games.
• Minnesota has a record of 17-6, a 73.9% win rate, when favored by -175 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 63.6%.
• So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of their 146 games with a total.
• The Twins are 69-77-0 against the spread this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Royals have come away with 47 wins in the 120 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 13-40 when favored by +148 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of their 146 opportunities.
• The Royals are 70-76-0 against the spread in their 146 games that had a posted line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez leads the Twins with a team-high batting average of .320.
• Arraez is 201st in homers and 148th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Arraez has collected a hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 games he is batting .333 with five doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Carlos Correa has 20 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .282.
• Correa ranks 51st in home runs and 83rd in RBI in the majors.
• Correa enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .500 with two doubles, two home runs and seven RBI.
• Gio Urshela has 23 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 33 walks while batting .271.
• Max Kepler has 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 49 walks while batting .227.

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the lineup with a batting average of .249, and paces the Royals in home runs, with 20 and runs batted in with 72.
• Witt Jr. is 51st in homers and 39th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Witt Jr. carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .256 with five doubles, a home run, four walks and six RBI.
• MJ Melendez is hitting .219 with 16 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 58 walks.
• Melendez is currently 94th in homers and 108th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Salvador Perez has 20 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Nicky Lopez has 12 doubles, four triples and 28 walks while batting .239.