Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/30/2022

by | May 29, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/30/2022

The Minnesota Twins (29-19), led by Trevor Larnach on a two-game home run streak, are -170 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Detroit Tigers (17-29). First pitch is set for 1:10 PM ET Monday, live from Comerica Park. Dylan Bundy takes the mound for Minnesota while Beau Brieske is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -170 +146 8.5 -111 -109 -1.5 -102 -118

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Tigers

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+146) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Beau Brieske
  • Game Day: Monday, May 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Comerica Park

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Bundy Brieske
7 GS 6
3-2 W-L 0-4
4.54 ERA 5.04
33.2 IP 30.1
8 BB 12
31 SO 18

Twins Starter Dylan Bundy

  • Bundy (3-2) gets the starting nod for the Twins in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.54 ERA in 33 2/3 innings pitched, with 31 strikeouts.
  • The righty last pitched on Wednesday against the Detroit Tigers, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • The 29-year-old has a 4.54 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings in seven games this season, while allowing a batting average of .261 to his opponents.
  • So far this season, Bundy has not registered a quality start.
  • Bundy enters the game with five outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • He meets a Tigers offense that ranks last in the league with 125 runs while batting .220 as a squad. It has a collective .319 slugging percentage (30th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 27 home runs (30th in MLB).
  • In 5 2/3 innings over one appearance against the Tigers this season, Bundy has a 1.59 ERA and a 1.059 WHIP while his opponents are batting .227.

Tigers Starter Beau Brieske

  • Brieske (0-4) will take to the mound for the Tigers and make his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed four innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.04, a 1.5 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.385 in six games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start one time in six starts this season.
  • Brieske has started six games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Twins have scored 209 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They are batting .250 for the campaign with 49 home runs, 11th in the league.
  • The Twins have gone 6-for-17 with two doubles and two RBI in four innings this season against the right-hander.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Twins have won 22 out of the 31 games, or 71%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Minnesota has entered 10 games this season favored by -170 or more and is 8-2 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 63% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of their 48 games with a total.
  • The Twins are 23-25-0 against the spread this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have won in 11, or 33.3%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This year, Detroit has won four of 15 games when listed as at least +146 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 40.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Detroit and their opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 46 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Tigers are 20-26-0 against the spread in their 46 games that had a posted line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez paces the Twins with a .363 batting average.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Arraez ranks 280th in home runs and 195th in RBI.
  • Arraez carries a nine-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .462 with six walks and three RBI.
  • Max Kepler has six doubles, a triple, six home runs and 22 walks while hitting .247.
  • Kepler ranks 51st in home runs and 67th in RBI in the majors.
  • Jorge Polanco has accumulated a team-best 26 runs batted in.
  • Byron Buxton’s 11 home runs lead his team.
  • Buxton is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .136 with a double and a walk.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 40 .363 .456 .422 1 12 49
Max Kepler 45 .247 .353 .425 6 22 36
Jorge Polanco 44 .228 .332 .370 5 26 37
Byron Buxton 33 .205 .287 .512 11 21 26
Gio Urshela 43 .259 .321 .364 4 20 37

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Miguel Cabrera leads the Tigers with 18 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .294.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Cabrera ranks 162nd in homers and 119th in RBI.
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit a team-high five home runs.
  • Candelario is 75th overall in home runs and 155th in RBI this season.
  • Harold Castro has four doubles, a triple, four home runs and two walks while batting .325.
  • Jonathan Schoop has seven doubles, four home runs and eight walks while hitting .173.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Miguel Cabrera 40 .294 .340 .399 3 18 42
Jeimer Candelario 44 .191 .249 .338 5 15 30
Harold Castro 27 .325 .337 .550 4 9 26
Jonathan Schoop 45 .173 .218 .286 4 10 29
Spencer Torkelson 41 .176 .293 .304 4 11 22

Betting Tips for Twins vs. Tigers

We have the Tigers on the moneyline at +146 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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