Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/31/2022

by | May 30, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/31/2022

The Minnesota Twins (29-20), led by Luis Arraez on a 10-game hitting streak, will meet the Detroit Tigers (18-29) Tuesday at Comerica Park. The Twins are -147 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 1:10 PM ET. Devin Smeltzer starts for Minnesota while Rony Garcia is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -147 +124 8.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +105 -126

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Tigers

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+124) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Devin Smeltzer
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Rony García
  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Comerica Park

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Smeltzer García
3 GS 1
1-0 W-L 0-0
1.04 ERA 3.00
17.1 IP 18.0
4 BB 5
8 SO 22

Twins Starter Devin Smeltzer

  • The Twins will send Smeltzer (1-0) to the mound for his fourth start of the season. He is 1-0 with a 1.04 ERA and eight strikeouts in 17 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Thursday against the Kansas City Royals, the lefty tossed seven scoreless innings while surrendering two hits.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 1.04, with 4.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opposing hitters have a .175 batting average against him.
  • Smeltzer will try to last five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
  • The opposing Tigers offense has the worst slugging percentage (.325) and is last in MLB play with 28 home runs. It has a collective .223 batting average, and is 29th in MLB with 340 total hits and last in MLB action scoring 132 runs.

Tigers Starter Rony García

  • The Tigers’ Garcia will make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he threw four innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up two earned runs.
  • He has pitched to a 3.00 ERA this season with 11.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.5 walks per nine across nine games.
  • The Twins have scored 214 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They are batting .251 for the campaign with 52 home runs, 10th in the league.
  • The right-hander has faced the Twins one time this season, allowing them to go 3-for-15 with a double, a home run and two RBI in four innings.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 32 times this season and won 22, or 68.8%, of those games.
  • This season, Minnesota has won 15 of its 19 games, or 78.9%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Games involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 22 of 49 chances this season.
  • In 49 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 23-26-0 ATS.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have been underdogs in 34 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (35.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win six times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of their 47 opportunities.
  • In 47 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 21-26-0 against the spread.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Arraez has accumulated a team-high batting average of .360.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Arraez’s home run total places him 284th, and his RBI tally ranks him 199th.
  • Arraez carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .475 with seven walks and three RBI.
  • Max Kepler has six doubles, a triple, six home runs and 22 walks while hitting .247.
  • Kepler is 53rd in home runs in MLB, and 72nd in RBI.
  • Gio Urshela is batting .272 with four doubles, five home runs and 15 walks.
  • Urshela will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with a double, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
  • Jorge Polanco has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 26 RBI.
  • Polanco is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 41 .360 .454 .417 1 12 50
Max Kepler 45 .247 .353 .425 6 22 36
Gio Urshela 44 .272 .331 .401 5 21 40
Jorge Polanco 45 .229 .330 .367 5 26 38
Byron Buxton 34 .203 .285 .508 11 21 26

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jeimer Candelario has put up a team-best five home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Candelario ranks 77th in home runs and 146th in RBI.
  • Candelario has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
  • Miguel Cabrera’s 18 runs batted in and .294 batting average both lead his team.
  • Cabrera is 163rd among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 119th in RBI.
  • Jonathan Schoop is batting .185 with eight doubles, a triple, four home runs and eight walks.
  • Harold Castro is hitting .306 with four doubles, a triple, four home runs and two walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jeimer Candelario 45 .198 .253 .340 5 16 32
Miguel Cabrera 40 .294 .340 .399 3 18 42
Jonathan Schoop 46 .185 .228 .312 4 10 32
Harold Castro 28 .306 .318 .518 4 9 26
Spencer Torkelson 42 .194 .305 .326 4 12 25

Betting Tips for Twins vs. Tigers

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +124. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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