Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/3/2022

The Minnesota Twins (54-49) host the Detroit Tigers (42-63) Wednesday to close out a three-game series. The Twins are favored (-213) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:10 PM ET from Target Field. Minnesota’s Joe Ryan and Detroit’s Tyler Alexander have been named the starters for this contest.

Twins vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Tigers

We have the Tigers on the moneyline at +177 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+177) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Tigers Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Joe Ryan
• Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 3, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Joe Ryan

• Ryan makes the start for the Twins, his 17th of the season. He is 7-4 with a 3.78 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 85 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the San Diego Padres, when he went 4 2/3 innings, allowing 10 earned runs while giving up eight hits.
• In 16 games this season, the 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.78, with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .218 against him.
• Ryan is looking to collect his seventh quality start of the season.
• Ryan will look to record his 11th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
• He will face off against a Tigers team that is batting .227 as a unit (27th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .335 (30th in MLB) with 63 total home runs (30th in MLB).
• Ryan has pitched 12 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out 16 against the Tigers this season.

Tigers Starter Tyler Alexander

• The Tigers will send Alexander (2-4) to the mound for his sixth start this season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw four innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.10, a 2.111 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.313 in 15 games this season.
• None of Alexander’s five starts this season have met the criteria for a quality start.
• Alexander has made one start of five or more innings in five chances this season, and averages 2.1 frames when he pitches.
• The Twins rank ninth in MLB with a .251 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks sixth in the league (.419) and 129 home runs.
• The Twins have gone 1-for-9 in three innings this season against the left-hander.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 61 games this season and won 38 (62.3%) of those contests.
• Minnesota has been at least a -213 moneyline favorite six times this season and won each of those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• Games involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 49 of 104 chances this season.
• The Twins are 50-54-0 ATS in their 104 games with a spread this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Tigers have won in 33, or 38.4%, of the 86 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Detroit has a mark of 4-17 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +177 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 36.1% chance of walking away with the win.
• Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of their 106 opportunities.
• The Tigers have an against the spread record of 48-58-0 in 106 games with a line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez’s .329 average leads the Twins this year. His resume also includes six homers and driven in 34 RBI.
• Including all MLB hitters, Arraez is second in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and 66th in slugging.
• Arraez carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with a home run and an RBI.
• Jorge Polanco has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 49 RBI.
• Polanco is 55th in home runs and 57th in RBI in the majors.
• Polanco enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .176 with a double and four walks.
• Byron Buxton paces the Twins with 26 home runs.
• Gio Urshela has 17 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .264.

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Javier Baez leads the Tigers with 10 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 40.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Baez’s home run total is 107th and his RBI tally ranks 105th.
• Baez has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Jonathan Schoop is hitting .209 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 15 walks.
• Schoop ranks 173rd among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 193rd in RBI.
• Jeimer Candelario leads the Tigers with 10 long balls.
• Miguel Cabrera leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .271.