Twins vs. White Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/15/2022

The Minnesota Twins (49-42) host the Chicago White Sox (44-45) at 8:10 PM ET Friday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Luis Arraez is batting .343 this year (first in the league) for the favored Twins (-140), while Tim Anderson ranks eighth in the majors with a .312 average for the underdog White Sox. Devin Smeltzer takes the mound for Minnesota while Michael Kopech is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. White Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. White Sox

We have the White Sox on the moneyline at +119 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago White Sox (+119) and Under (9)

Twins vs. White Sox Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Devin Smeltzer
• Chicago White Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
• Game Day: Friday, July 15, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Devin Smeltzer

• Smeltzer (4-2 with a 3.92 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 59 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Twins, his 12th of the season.
• In his most recent time out on Saturday, the lefty threw 3 1/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, allowing seven earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
• The 26-year-old has a 3.92 ERA and 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 11 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .243 to opposing hitters.
• Smeltzer has six quality starts under his belt this year.
• Smeltzer has pitched five or more innings in a game eight times this season heading into this game.
• He meets a White Sox offense that ranks 16th in the league with 386 runs while batting .255 as a unit. It has a collective .380 slugging percentage (22nd in MLB action) and has hit a total of 75 home runs (24th in MLB).

White Sox Starter Michael Kopech

• Kopech (2-6) will take to the mound for the White Sox and make his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.35 and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .184 in 16 games this season.
• In 16 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in five of them.
• Kopech has started 16 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 11 times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Twins rank fifth in MLB with a .254 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks sixth in the league (.423) and 114 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Twins to go 11-for-38 with two doubles, four home runs and six RBI in 9 2/3 innings this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 55 games this season and won 34 (61.8%) of those contests.
• Minnesota has a record of 26-14, a 65% win rate, when favored by -140 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 58.3% chance to win.
• Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 92 games with a total this season.
• In 92 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 43-49-0 ATS.

White Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The White Sox have been victorious in 17, or 43.6%, of the 39 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Chicago has won nine of 22 games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.
• Chicago and their opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 94 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The White Sox are 43-51-0 against the spread in their 94 games that had a posted line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Arraez’s .343 average leads the Twins this year. His resume also includes four homers and driven in 29 RBI.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Arraez’s home run total places him 232nd, and his RBI tally ranks him 150th.
• Max Kepler has 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 41 walks while hitting .252.
• Kepler ranks 102nd in home runs and 85th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Kepler heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .500 with two doubles and a walk.
• Jorge Polanco has put up a team-high 45 runs batted in.
• Byron Buxton has shown his power as he paces his team with 23 home runs.

White Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Abreu is batting .301 with 24 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .382.
• In all of MLB, Abreu ranks 71st in home runs and 47th in RBI.
• Abreu brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .450 with a double, a home run and five RBI.
• Luis Robert has hit 12 home runs with 54 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Robert ranks 59th overall in home runs and 20th in RBI this year.
• Andrew Vaughn has 14 doubles, nine home runs and 17 walks while batting .285.
• Anderson leads the White Sox with a team-high batting average of .312.