Twins vs. White Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/16/2022

by | Jul 16, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Twins vs. White Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/16/2022

Luis Arraez, batting .343 this season, leads the Minnesota Twins (49-43) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Tim Anderson (.313 AVG) and the Chicago White Sox (45-45). Arraez and the Twins are -120 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Target Field, beginning at 2:10 PM ET. Minnesota’s Dylan Bundy and Chicago’s Lance Lynn have been named the starters for this contest.

Twins vs. White Sox Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs White Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -120 +101 9 -114 -106 -1.5 +131 -123

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. White Sox

Our best bet is the White Sox on the moneyline at +101 after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago White Sox (+101) and Under (9)

Twins vs. White Sox Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy
  • Chicago White Sox probable starting pitcher: Lance Lynn
  • Game Day: Saturday, July 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Pitching Matchup

Bundy Lynn
15 GS 6
5-4 W-L 1-2
4.68 ERA 6.97
75.0 IP 31.0
16 BB 9
57 SO 29

Twins Starter Dylan Bundy

  • Bundy gets the start for the Twins, his 16th of the season. He is 5-4 with a 4.68 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 75 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday, the right-hander went 5 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • The 29-year-old has a 4.68 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings across 15 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .270 to opposing hitters.
  • Bundy enters this matchup with two quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Bundy will try to last five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per outing.
  • The opposing White Sox offense has a collective .255 batting average, and is fourth in the league with 799 total hits and 16th in MLB action with 392 runs scored. It has the 19th-ranked slugging percentage (.381) and ranks 24th in home runs (77) in all of MLB.
  • Bundy has pitched 10 innings, giving up one earned run on seven hits while striking out 10 against the White Sox this season.

White Sox Starter Lance Lynn

  • The White Sox will hand the ball to Lynn (1-2) for his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up eight earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
  • The 35-year-old has pitched in six games this season with an ERA of 6.97 and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .292.
  • He has one quality starts in six chances this season.
  • In six starts, Lynn has pitched through or past the fifth inning four times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
  • The Twins are batting .253 this season, seventh in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .421 (fifth in the league) with 114 home runs.
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Twins in one game, and they have gone 6-for-21 with a double, a home run and five RBI over five innings.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have won 34, or 60.7%, of the 56 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has entered 54 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 32-22 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 93 games with a total.
  • The Twins have an ATS record of 43-50-0 in 93 games with a spread this season.

White Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The White Sox have won in 18, or 45%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win 16 times in 36 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 42 of their 95 opportunities.
  • The White Sox are 44-51-0 against the spread in their 95 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Arraez leads the Twins with a .343 batting average.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Arraez is first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and 60th in slugging.
  • Arraez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with a double and three walks.
  • Max Kepler has 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 41 walks while hitting .248.
  • Kepler ranks 101st in home runs and 86th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Jorge Polanco paces the Twins with 45 runs batted in.
  • Byron Buxton has hit 23 home runs to lead his team.
  • Buxton is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a triple, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 82 .343 .418 .443 4 29 103
Max Kepler 81 .248 .351 .401 9 37 68
Jorge Polanco 73 .240 .346 .423 13 45 64
Byron Buxton 71 .217 .295 .539 23 43 58
Carlos Correa 68 .279 .355 .443 10 31 73

White Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Abreu is batting .302 with 24 doubles, 11 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Abreu ranks 72nd in homers and 51st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Abreu brings a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .385 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Luis Robert has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 12 home runs and 54 RBI.
  • Robert is 58th in home runs and 21st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Andrew Vaughn is hitting .288 with 14 doubles, nine home runs and 17 walks.
  • Anderson leads the White Sox with a .313 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Abreu 88 .302 .383 .470 11 45 102
Luis Robert 74 .301 .334 .461 12 54 92
Andrew Vaughn 70 .288 .337 .439 9 43 78
Tim Anderson 63 .313 .355 .423 6 22 83
A.J. Pollock 72 .231 .272 .339 4 26 58

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