White Sox vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

by | Jul 17, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 White Sox vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

The Chicago White Sox (45-46) visit the Minnesota Twins (50-43) at 2:10 PM ET Sunday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Tim Anderson is batting .311 this year (eighth in the league) for the favored White Sox (-124), while Luis Arraez ranks first in the majors with a .342 average for the underdog Twins. Chicago’s Dylan Cease and Minnesota’s Chris Archer have been named the starters for this contest.

White Sox vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

White Sox vs Twins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
White Sox -124 +105 8.5 +100 -120 -1.5 +135 -160

Computer Predictions for White Sox vs. Twins

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +105. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+105) and Over (8.5)

White Sox vs. Twins Game Info

  • Chicago White Sox probable starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Chris Archer
  • Game Day: Sunday, July 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Cease Archer
18 GS 15
8-4 W-L 2-3
2.30 ERA 3.08
97.2 IP 61.1
46 BB 30
142 SO 47

White Sox Starter Dylan Cease

  • The White Sox will send Cease (8-4) out for his 19th start of the season. He is 8-4 with a 2.30 ERA and 142 strikeouts in 97 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent time out was on Tuesday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
  • The 26-year-old has a 2.30 ERA and 13.1 strikeouts per nine innings across 18 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .206 to opposing hitters.
  • Cease is trying to secure his seventh quality start of the year in this game.
  • Cease will try to last five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
  • He will take the mound against a Twins offense that ranks sixth in MLB with 797 total hits (on a .254 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .423 (fifth in MLB) with 117 total home runs (seventh in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 26-year-old’s 2.30 ERA ranks seventh, 1.239 WHIP ranks 41st, and 13.1 K/9 ranks first.

Twins Starter Chris Archer

  • Archer (2-3) will take the mound for the Twins, his 16th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, June 30, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while allowing one hit against the Cleveland Guardians.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.08 and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .208 in 15 games this season.
  • In 15 starts this season, Archer has not yet earned a quality start.
  • In 15 starts, Archer has pitched through or past the fifth inning three times. He has a season average of 4.0 frames per outing.
  • The White Sox have scored 395 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They have 808 hits, fourth in baseball, with 77 home runs (24th in the league).
  • The White Sox have gone 3-for-12 with a home run and two RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

White Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the White Sox have been favored 55 times and won 28, or 50.9%, of those games.
  • Chicago is 22-21 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 55.4% chance to win.
  • Games involving Chicago have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 42 of 96 chances this season.
  • The White Sox are 44-52-0 against the spread in their 96 chances this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have won in 15, or 42.9%, of the 35 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Minnesota has been victorious 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Minnesota and their opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 94 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Twins are 44-50-0 against the spread in their 94 games that had a posted line this season.

White Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Abreu is great at both finding his way aboard and doing damage when he’s at the plate. Abreu leads the White Sox this season with a .387 OBP, .471 slugging percentage, and 103 base hits.
  • Abreu ranks 73rd in home runs and 48th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Abreu carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .405 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and eight RBI.
  • Luis Robert has shown his power as he paces his team with 12 home runs and 54 runs batted in.
  • Robert is 62nd in home runs and 22nd in RBI in the bigs.
  • Andrew Vaughn has 15 doubles, nine home runs and 17 walks while batting .291.
  • Vaughn is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a home run and seven RBI.
  • Anderson’s .311 batting average paces his team.
  • Anderson brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .304 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Abreu 89 .303 .387 .471 11 46 103
Luis Robert 74 .301 .334 .461 12 54 92
Andrew Vaughn 71 .291 .339 .444 9 45 80
Tim Anderson 64 .311 .352 .419 6 22 84
A.J. Pollock 73 .227 .268 .333 4 26 58

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .342.
  • Arraez is 203rd in homers and 149th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Arraez has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Jorge Polanco has driven in the most runs for the Twins with 48 runs batted in.
  • Polanco is 43rd in homers and 38th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Max Kepler is hitting .248 with 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 41 walks.
  • Byron Buxton paces the Twins with 23 home runs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 83 .342 .416 .451 5 30 104
Jorge Polanco 74 .244 .348 .435 14 48 66
Max Kepler 82 .248 .350 .399 9 37 69
Byron Buxton 72 .218 .295 .535 23 43 59
Carlos Correa 69 .282 .357 .455 11 33 75

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