Yankees vs. Astros Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/25/2022

The New York Yankees (52-19) host the Houston Astros (44-26) at 1:05 PM ET Saturday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best power hitters in MLB. For the favored Yankees (-162), Aaron Judge has racked up 27 homers this season, first in the league, while Yordan Alvarez ranks second in the majors with 22 dingers of his own this season for the underdogs. Gerrit Cole will get the ball for New York while Houston counter with Cristian Javier.

Yankees vs. Astros Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Astros

We have the Astros on the moneyline at +139 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Houston Astros (+139) and Over (8)

Yankees vs. Astros Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
• Game Day: Saturday, June 25, 2022
• Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
• Location: The Bronx, New York
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Gerrit Cole

• Cole gets the start for the Yankees, his 15th of the season. He is 6-1 with a 3.14 ERA and 103 strikeouts in 80 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he threw 7 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing just one hit.
• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.14, with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents are hitting .200 against him.
• Cole is looking to continue a second-game quality start streak in this game.
• Cole is looking for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Astros offense has a collective .238 batting average, and is 23rd in the league with 551 total hits and 16th in MLB play with 303 runs scored. It has the fifth-ranked slugging percentage (.418) and ranks third in home runs (96) in all of MLB.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 31-year-old ranks 24th in ERA (3.14), 12th in WHIP (1.008), and fourth in K/9 (11.5).

Astros Starter Cristian Javier

• Javier (4-3) will take to the mound for the Astros and make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed two hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Sunday.
• The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.07, a 2.957 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.168 in 13 games this season.
• In nine starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• Javier will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Yankees rank first in MLB with 361 runs scored this season. They have a .243 batting average this campaign with 118 home runs (first in the league).

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 47 out of the 65 games, or 72.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
• New York is 32-11 this season when entering a game favored by -162 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 61.8% chance to win.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of their 70 opportunities.
• The Yankees have an ATS record of 35-35-0 in 70 games with a spread this season.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have come away with five wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Houston has played as an underdog of +139 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 41.8% chance of pulling out a win.
• Contests with Houston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 23 of 70 chances this season.
• The Astros have posted a record of 35-35-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Judge’s 27 home runs and 53 RBI both lead the Yankees, on top of his team-high .299 average.
• Judge is first in home runs and sixth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Anthony Rizzo has 10 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 33 walks while batting .222.
• Rizzo ranks sixth in home runs in MLB, and ninth in RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is batting .264 with 13 doubles, six home runs and 29 walks.
• Gleyber Torres has 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 15 walks while hitting .257.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alvarez paces the Astros with 22 home runs and 54 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .317.
• In all of the big leagues, Alvarez ranks second in homers and fifth in RBI.
• Alvarez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with four home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Kyle Tucker has 11 doubles, 14 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .262.
• Tucker is 22nd overall in homers and 10th in RBI this year.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .235 with 15 doubles, nine home runs and 41 walks.
• Michael Brantley has 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 31 walks while batting .289.