Yankees vs. Astros Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/26/2022

The New York Yankees (52-20) host the Houston Astros (45-26) at 1:35 PM ET Sunday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best power hitters in MLB. For the favored Yankees (-163), Aaron Judge has racked up 27 homers this season, first in the league, while Yordan Alvarez ranks second in the majors with 22 dingers of his own this season for the underdogs. Nestor Cortes takes the mound for New York while Jose Urquidy is Houston’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Astros Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Astros

Our best bet is the Astros on the moneyline at +141 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Houston Astros (+141) and Over (8.5)

Yankees vs. Astros Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: José Urquidy
• Game Day: Sunday, June 26, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: The Bronx, New York
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Nestor Cortes

• The Yankees will send Nestor Cortes Jr. (6-3) to the mound for his 14th start of the season. He is 6-3 with a 2.31 ERA and 78 strikeouts in 74 innings pitched.
• The left-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up six hits.
• The 27-year-old has put together a 2.31 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 13 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .199 to his opponents.
• Cortes has five quality starts under his belt this season.
• Cortes is looking to pick up his 10th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
• He will face an Astros squad that is batting .238 as a unit (18th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .419 (fifth in MLB) with 98 total home runs (third in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old’s 2.31 ERA ranks seventh, .959 WHIP ranks ninth, and 9.5 K/9 ranks 18th.

Astros Starter José Urquidy

• The Astros will send Urquidy (6-3) to the mound for his 14th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.68, a 4 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.455 in 13 games this season.
• He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
• Urquidy has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Yankees have scored 361 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They have 573 hits, 15th in baseball, with 118 home runs (first in the league).

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 47 out of the 66 games, or 71.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
• New York has a record of 32-12, a 72.7% win rate, when favored by -163 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 62% chance to win.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of their 71 opportunities.
• The Yankees have an ATS record of 35-36-0 in 71 games with a spread this season.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have come away with six wins in the 13 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Houston has been listed as an underdog of +141 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 41.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• Houston and their opponents have hit the over in 23 of their 71 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Astros are 36-35-0 against the spread in their 71 games that had a posted line this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Judge’s 27 homers and 53 RBI both lead the Yankees, in addition to his team-high .295 average.
• In all of the majors, Judge ranks first in home runs and sixth in RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo has 10 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 33 walks while batting .219.
• Rizzo ranks sixth in home runs and ninth in RBI on the season.
• DJ LeMahieu is batting .264 with 13 doubles, six home runs and 30 walks.
• Gleyber Torres is batting .253 with 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 15 walks.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alvarez paces the Astros in home runs (22), runs batted in (54) and has a team-high batting average of .312.
• In all of the big leagues, Alvarez ranks second in home runs and fifth in RBI.
• Kyle Tucker has 11 doubles, 14 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .260.
• Tucker is 23rd in home runs and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .232 with 15 doubles, nine home runs and 42 walks.
• Jose Altuve is batting .274 with 13 doubles, 14 home runs and 23 walks.