Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/17/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (37-26) will look to Matt Chapman, who has blasted homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the New York Yankees (47-16) Friday at Rogers Centre. The Yankees and Kyle Higashioka (who has a two-game home run streak of his own) are -120 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 7:07 PM ET. Jordan Montgomery gets the starting nod for New York while Ross Stripling is Toronto’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Blue Jays

Our computer pick: Toronto Blue Jays (+100) and Over (9.5)

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Ross Stripling
• Game Day: Friday, June 17, 2022
• Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
• Location: Toronto, Ontario
• Stadium: Rogers Centre

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Jordan Montgomery

• Montgomery (2-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his 13th of the season.
• In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the left-hander went 7 2/3 scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs while surrendering five hits.
• In 12 games this season, the 29-year-old has put up a 2.70 ERA and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .223 to opposing batters.
• Montgomery is aiming for his fifth straight quality start.
• Montgomery will try to continue a six-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
• He will take the mound against a Blue Jays squad that is hitting .258 as a unit (second in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .430 (third in MLB) with 79 total home runs (seventh in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Blue Jays this season, Montgomery has thrown five innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits while striking out five.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 29-year-old’s 2.70 ERA ranks 18th, .975 WHIP ranks 14th, and 6.9 K/9 ranks 49th.

Blue Jays Starter Ross Stripling

• The Blue Jays’ Stripling (3-1) will make his eighth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers while allowing one hit.
• The 32-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with an ERA of 3.14 and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .209.
• He has one quality starts in seven chances this season.
• Stripling has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Yankees have scored 315 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They have 510 hits, 15th in baseball, with 101 home runs (first in the league).
• The Yankees have gone 5-for-18 with a double, a home run and two RBI in four innings this season against the right-hander.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 43 out of the 58 games, or 74.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
• New York has entered 56 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 42-14 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 54.5% chance to win.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of their 62 opportunities.
• In 62 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 32-30-0 ATS.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have won in seven, or 50%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Toronto has a win-loss record of 6-6 when favored by +100 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Toronto and their opponents have hit the over in 32 of their 62 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 62 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 28-34-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge’s 25 long balls and 49 RBI both lead the Yankees, in addition to his team-high .310 average.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Judge ranks first in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo has 10 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .218.
• Rizzo is ninth in homers and 10th in RBI in the majors.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .257 with 12 doubles, five home runs and 24 walks.
• Gleyber Torres is hitting .249 with eight doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 13 walks.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays in home runs (16) and runs batted in (39).
• Guerrero’s home run total puts him ninth in the big leagues, and he is 21st in RBI.
• Guerrero takes a hitting streak of seven games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .349 with two doubles, four home runs, three walks and 10 RBI.
• George Springer is hitting .271 with 11 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 20 walks.
• Springer ranks 25th overall in homers and 43rd in RBI this year.
• Bo Bichette has 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 17 walks while hitting .260.
• Santiago Espinal is hitting .292 with 18 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Blue Jays

Our best bet is the Blue Jays on the moneyline at +100 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 9.5 runs.