Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/19/2022

by | Jun 19, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/19/2022

Entering Sunday’s matchup with the New York Yankees (49-16), the Toronto Blue Jays (37-28) are on a three-game losing streak. The contest starts at 1:37 PM ET with the Yankees listed as -141 favorites, while the are +121 underdogs who may be heading for a fourth straight defeat. Luis Severino will get the ball for New York while Toronto counter with Yusei Kikuchi.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -141 +121 9 -101 -119 -1.5 +120 -143

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Blue Jays

Our computer pick: Toronto Blue Jays (+121) and Under (9)

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Luis Severino
  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
  • Game Day: Sunday, June 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:37 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Matchup

Severino Kikuchi
11 GS 12
4-1 W-L 2-3
2.80 ERA 4.80
61.0 IP 50.2
15 BB 32
71 SO 56

Yankees Starter Luis Severino

  • Severino (4-1) gets the starting nod for the Yankees in his 12th start of the season. He has a 2.80 ERA in 61 innings pitched, with 71 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Friday, June 10 against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up seven hits.
  • In 11 games this season, the 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.80, with 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .213 against him.
  • Severino is looking to record his third straight quality start in this outing.
  • Severino will try to build on a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
  • He will take the mound against a Blue Jays team that is hitting .255 as a unit (fourth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .425 (third in MLB) with 80 total home runs (eighth in MLB).
  • Head-to-head against the Blue Jays this season, Severino has thrown 9 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits while striking out 14.

Blue Jays Starter Yusei Kikuchi

  • Kikuchi (2-3) will take to the mound for the Blue Jays and make his 13th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with an ERA of 4.80, a 1.75 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.539.
  • He has earned a quality start two times in 12 starts this season.
  • In 12 starts, Kikuchi has pitched through or past the fifth inning five times. He has a season average of 4.1 frames per outing.
  • The Yankees have scored 331 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They are batting .246 for the campaign with 105 home runs, first in the league.
  • The left-hander has allowed the Yankees to go 10-for-52 with four doubles, two home runs and five RBI in 14 2/3 innings this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have been favored 59 times and won 44, or 74.6%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 35-14, a 71.4% win rate, when favored by -141 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Yankees have a 58.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 28 of their 64 chances.
  • The Yankees are 34-30-0 ATS in their 64 games with a spread this season.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 15 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (46.7%) in those contests.
  • This season, Toronto has been victorious five times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Toronto have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 33 of 64 chances this season.
  • The Blue Jays are 28-36-0 against the spread in their 64 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 25 home runs and 49 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .306.
  • Judge ranks first in homers and sixth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Anthony Rizzo is hitting .226 with 10 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Rizzo is eighth in homers and ninth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Rizzo carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
  • DJ LeMahieu has 12 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks while hitting .264.
  • Gleyber Torres has 11 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 13 walks while batting .259.
  • Torres takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with four doubles, a walk and an RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Aaron Judge 63 .306 .381 .657 25 49 74
Anthony Rizzo 64 .226 .332 .496 17 47 53
DJ LeMahieu 56 .264 .347 .409 6 28 55
Gleyber Torres 59 .259 .307 .502 12 29 52
Giancarlo Stanton 52 .258 .338 .511 14 42 48

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 16 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 39.
  • Guerrero’s home run total puts him 10th in MLB, and he ranks 25th in RBI.
  • George Springer has 11 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .265.
  • Springer is 28th overall in home runs and 49th in RBI this season.
  • Bo Bichette is hitting .260 with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 17 walks.
  • Alejandro Kirk leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .311.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 64 .262 .347 .496 16 39 63
George Springer 60 .265 .341 .493 12 33 59
Bo Bichette 64 .260 .304 .428 10 33 70
Alejandro Kirk 57 .311 .392 .469 6 22 55
Santiago Espinal 65 .283 .335 .429 5 31 64

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Blue Jays

We have the Blue Jays on the moneyline at +121 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

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