Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

by | Aug 19, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

Gleyber Torres is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the New York Yankees (73-46) as they get set to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (63-54) on Friday. The Yankees enter the matchup as -112 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Yankee Stadium at 7:05 PM ET. Jameson Taillon gets the starting nod for New York while Kevin Gausman is Toronto’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -112 -107 8 -109 -111 -1.5 +142 -129

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Blue Jays

We have the Blue Jays on the moneyline at -107 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Toronto Blue Jays (-107) and Over (8)

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
  • Game Day: Friday, August 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Matchup

Taillon Gausman
23 GS 22
11-3 W-L 8-9
3.95 ERA 3.16
127.2 IP 122.1
24 BB 21
108 SO 142

Yankees Starter Jameson Taillon

  • Taillon gets the start for the Yankees, his 24th of the season. He is 11-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 108 strikeouts in 127 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, the right-hander went seven innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • In 23 games this season, the 30-year-old has a 3.95 ERA and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .245 to opposing hitters.
  • Taillon is aiming to claim his third straight quality start in this outing.
  • Taillon will try to prolong a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
  • The opposing Blue Jays offense has a collective .263 batting average, and is third in the league with 1051 total hits and seventh in MLB play with 553 runs scored. It has the fourth-ranked slugging percentage (.432) and ranks seventh in home runs (148) in all of MLB.
  • Taillon has a 2.05 ERA and a 1.045 WHIP against the Blue Jays this season in 22 innings pitched, allowing a .235 batting average over four appearances.
  • This season, the 30-year-old ranks 41st in ERA (3.95), 25th in WHIP (1.128), and 42nd in K/9 (7.6) among qualifying pitchers.

Blue Jays Starter Kevin Gausman

  • The Blue Jays’ Gausman (8-9) will make his 23rd start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians, giving up five earned runs while allowing nine hits.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 22 games this season with an ERA of 3.16, a 6.762 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.267.
  • He has started 22 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 12 of them.
  • In 22 starts, Gausman has pitched through or past the fifth inning 17 times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
  • The Yankees rank second in MLB with 607 runs scored this season. They have a .241 batting average this campaign with 195 home runs (first in the league).
  • The Yankees have gone 6-for-23 with a double and two RBI in 5 2/3 innings this season against the right-hander.
  • The 31-year-old ranks 25th in ERA (3.16), 45th in WHIP (1.267), and eighth in K/9 (10.4) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have been favorites in 110 games this season and won 68 (61.8%) of those contests.
  • New York has entered 109 games this season favored by -112 or more and is 67-42 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of their 119 opportunities.
  • The Yankees are 52-67-0 ATS in their 119 games with a spread this season.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (47.4%) in those contests.
  • This season, Toronto has been victorious nine times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Toronto have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 62 of 116 chances this season.
  • The Blue Jays have posted a record of 50-66-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Aaron Judge paces the Yankees in home runs (46) and runs batted in (102).
  • Of all batters in MLB, Judge ranks first in homers and first in RBI.
  • Anthony Rizzo is hitting .222 with 19 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 51 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Rizzo ranks eighth in homers and 23rd in RBI.
  • Rizzo carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • DJ LeMahieu is hitting .282 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 61 walks.
  • LeMahieu will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a walk.
  • Andrew Benintendi has a club-leading .301 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Aaron Judge 115 .295 .393 .661 46 102 127
Anthony Rizzo 106 .222 .339 .500 28 68 84
DJ LeMahieu 106 .282 .382 .418 12 43 112
Andrew Benintendi 113 .301 .375 .386 3 44 124
Gleyber Torres 107 .246 .296 .434 17 49 97

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has put up a team-leading 26 home runs and has driven in 75 runs.
  • Guerrero’s home run total puts him 12th in the majors, and he is 11th in RBI.
  • George Springer has 16 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 37 walks while batting .267.
  • Among all major league hitters, Springer is 40th in homers and 72nd in RBI.
  • Alejandro Kirk has 16 doubles, 12 home runs and 43 walks while batting .299.
  • Bo Bichette is hitting .260 with 28 doubles, 17 home runs and 28 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 116 .282 .352 .509 26 75 127
George Springer 93 .267 .343 .477 18 51 94
Alejandro Kirk 104 .299 .380 .452 12 45 102
Bo Bichette 115 .260 .300 .427 17 64 123
Matt Chapman 111 .235 .314 .461 23 60 91

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