Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/3/2022

The New York Yankees (58-21) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Cleveland Guardians (39-36) when the teams meet at 1:40 PM ET Sunday. The Yankees are -159 favorites to keep the Guardians out of the win column in the series. Jordan Montgomery will get the ball for New York while Cleveland counter with Triston McKenzie.

Yankees vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Guardians

We have the Guardians on the moneyline at +136 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+136) and Over (8)

Yankees vs. Guardians Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie
• Game Day: Sunday, July 3, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Jordan Montgomery

• The Yankees will send Montgomery (3-1) to make his 16th start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 64 strikeouts through 85 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Monday, the left-hander tossed 6 2/3 innings against the Oakland Athletics, allowing five earned runs while surrendering six hits.
• The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.27, with 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opponents have a .229 batting average against him.
• Montgomery is trying to pick up his eighth quality start of the year in this game.
• Montgomery will try to build upon a nine-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
• The opposing Guardians offense has the 19th-ranked slugging percentage (.381) and ranks 28th in MLB play with 59 home runs. It has a collective .245 batting average, and is 15th in MLB with 623 total hits and 19th in MLB play scoring 329 runs.
• The 29-year-old ranks 31st in ERA (3.27), 13th in WHIP (1.020), and 53rd in K/9 (6.8) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Guardians Starter Triston McKenzie

• The Guardians will hand the ball to McKenzie (4-6) for his 14th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up seven earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.03, a 3.476 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.046 in 14 games this season.
• He has seven quality starts in 13 chances this season.
• McKenzie has started 13 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 10 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
• The Yankees have scored 403 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .239 for the campaign with 133 home runs, first in the league.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 24-year-old’s 4.03 ERA ranks 45th, 1.046 WHIP ranks 18th, and 8.2 K/9 ranks 31st.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have won 53, or 71.6%, of the 74 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 39-14, a 73.6% win rate, when favored by -159 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 61.4%.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of their 79 opportunities.
• The Yankees are 40-39-0 against the spread in their 79 chances this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have been underdogs in 44 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (40.9%) in those contests.
• This year, Cleveland has won six of 18 games when listed as at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of their 81 opportunities.
• The Guardians have posted a record of 41-40-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Aaron Judge lead the Yankees in hitting with his .282 average, he also is their premier power option with 29 home runs and 59 RBI.
• Of all batters in baseball, Judge is first in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .221 with 10 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 36 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Rizzo is fifth in home runs and 13th in RBI.
• Rizzo carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .267 with three home runs, three walks and three RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is batting .267 with 13 doubles, eight home runs and 38 walks.
• Giancarlo Stanton is batting .244 with five doubles, 20 home runs and 30 walks.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez has a team-high 16 home runs and has driven in 63 runs.
• Ramirez’s home run total puts him 19th in the big leagues, and he ranks third in RBI.
• Amed Rosario is batting .287 with 12 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 14 walks.
• Rosario is 250th in home runs and 172nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Josh Naylor is batting .273 with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 15 walks.
• Andres Gimenez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .308.