Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/23/2022

Andrew Benintendi, batting .303 this season, leads the New York Yankees (75-48) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Jeff McNeil (.319 AVG) and the New York Mets (79-45). Benintendi and the Yankees are -123 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Yankee Stadium, beginning at 7:05 PM ET. The Yankees’ Frankie Montas and the Mets’ Taijuan Walker have been named the starters for this contest.

Yankees vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Mets

We have the Mets on the moneyline at +104 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+104) and Over (8.5)

Yankees vs. Mets Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Frankie Montas
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 23, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: The Bronx, New York
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Frankie Montas

• Montas (4-10) gets the starting nod for the Yankees in his 23rd start of the season. He has a 3.87 ERA in 118 2/3 innings pitched, with 117 strikeouts.
• In his last time out on Thursday against the Toronto Blue Jays, the right-hander tossed six innings, allowing six earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.87, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 22 games this season. Opponents are batting .243 against him.
• Montás heads into this game with 10 quality starts under his belt this year.
• Montás will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
• The opposing Mets offense has a collective .258 batting average, and is third in the league with 1085 total hits and fourth in MLB action with 592 runs scored. It has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.409) and ranks 15th in home runs (126) in all of MLB.

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

• Walker (10-3) will take the mound for the Mets, his 22nd start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw two scoreless innings against the Atlanta Braves while allowing one hit.
• The 30-year-old has pitched to a 3.36 ERA this season with 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 21 games.
• He has 11 quality starts in 21 chances this season.
• In 21 starts, Walker has pitched through or past the fifth inning 17 times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
• The Yankees are batting .241 this season, 16th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .431 (third in the league) with 198 home runs.
• The right-hander has faced the Yankees one time this season, allowing them to go 7-for-25 with two home runs and three RBI in six innings.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 112 times and won 69, or 61.6%, of those games.
• This season, the Yankees have won 63 of their 102 games, or 61.8%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• Games involving the Yankees have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 57 of 123 chances this season.
• The Yankees have an ATS record of 54-69-0 in 123 games with a spread this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been victorious in 17, or 51.5%, of the 33 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, the Mets have come away with a win 12 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 49% chance of walking away with the win.
• The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 63 of their 126 games with a total this season.
• The Mets have an against the spread mark of 69-55-0 in 124 games with a line this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge has gone yard 47 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 103 runs, both totals that lead the Yankees.
• Judge’s home runs put him first in MLB, and he ranks first in RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is hitting .221 with 19 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 52 walks.
• Rizzo is eighth in homers in the majors, and 27th in RBI.
• Rizzo has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double and two walks.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .281 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 61 walks.
• LeMahieu will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .286 with two RBI.
• Benintendi’s .303 batting average paces his team.
• Benintendi has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso leads the Mets in home runs (30) and runs batted in (102).
• Alonso’s home run total places him sixth in MLB, and he ranks second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .273 with 17 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 48 walks.
• Lindor is 32nd in home runs and fifth in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Starling Marte is hitting .293 with 23 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .265 with 24 doubles, five triples, 11 home runs and 48 walks.