Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/23/2022

The New York Yankees (64-30) are -239 moneyline favorites to win Saturday when they plan to send Gerrit Cole to the mound to face the Baltimore Orioles (46-46). Cole will try to earn his 10th win when the teams hit the field at 7:05 PM ET. Cole gets the starting nod for New York while Jordan Lyles is Baltimore’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Orioles

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +197. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+197) and Over (8)

Yankees vs. Orioles Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
• Game Day: Saturday, July 23, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Gerrit Cole

• Cole looks for his 10th win when he makes the start for the Yankees, his 20th of the season. He is 9-2 with a 3.02 ERA and 147 strikeouts in 113 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, the righty threw 7 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 31-year-old has amassed a 3.02 ERA and 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 19 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .193 to his opponents.
• Cole is trying to register his third straight quality start in this outing.
• Cole is aiming for his eighth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.3 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He meets an Orioles offense that ranks 20th in the league with 386 runs while batting .232 as a unit. It has a collective .386 slugging percentage (17th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 95 home runs (16th in MLB).
• Cole has a 4.2 ERA and a 0.867 WHIP against the Orioles this season in 15 innings pitched, allowing a .220 batting average over two appearances.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 31-year-old ranks 22nd in ERA (3.02), ninth in WHIP (.971), and third in K/9 (11.7).

Orioles Starter Jordan Lyles

• The Orioles will send Lyles (6-8) to the mound for his 20th start this season.
• The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed six hits in 2 2/3 innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday.
• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.85, a 2.676 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.421 in 19 games this season.
• In 19 starts this season, he’s earned eight quality starts.
• Lyles has 16 starts of five or more innings this season in 19 chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
• The Yankees have scored 504 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .244 for the campaign with 160 home runs, first in the league.
• The Yankees have gone 23-for-94 with three doubles, five home runs and 12 RBI in four games against the right-hander this season.
• The 31-year-old ranks 59th in ERA (4.85), 61st in WHIP (1.421), and 44th in K/9 (7.6) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 87 times and won 59, or 67.8%, of those games.
• This season, New York has won 12 of its 14 games, or 85.7%, when favored by at least -239 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 70.5%.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 94 games with a total.
• The Yankees are 45-49-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been underdogs in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (47%) in those contests.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win three times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +197 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 33.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 41 of their 93 opportunities.
• In 93 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 61-32-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge has gone yard 36 times in the 2022 campaign while knocking in 77 runs, both totals that lead the Yankees.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Judge’s home run total places him first, and his RBI tally ranks him second.
• Anthony Rizzo has 15 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 43 walks while batting .221.
• Rizzo ranks ninth in homers and 18th in RBI in the major leagues.
• DJ LeMahieu has a team-best batting average of .285.
• LeMahieu will look to build on his five-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .563 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
• Gleyber Torres is batting .267 with 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 23 walks.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins is batting .259 with 23 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 28 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .320.
• In all of MLB, Mullins ranks 156th in homers and 95th in RBI.
• Austin Hays is hitting .264 with 22 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 21 walks.
• Hays is currently 66th in home runs and 53rd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Anthony Santander has been solid source of run production for the Orioles with 16 long balls and 49 runs batted in.
• Ryan Mountcastle has 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 18 walks while hitting .264.