Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/24/2022

The New York Yankees (65-31) will look to Aaron Judge, red hot after a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles (47-47) on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. The Yankees are -183 favorites for the contest, according to bookmakers. New York’s Nestor Cortes gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Dean Kremer.

Yankees vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Orioles

Our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +155 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+155) and Over (9)

Yankees vs. Orioles Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
• Game Day: Sunday, July 24, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Nestor Cortes

• Nestor Cortes Jr. (7-3) gets the starting nod for the Yankees in his 18th start of the season. He has a 2.63 ERA in 95 2/3 innings pitched, with 99 strikeouts.
• The left-hander’s most recent time out came on Thursday, July 14 against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went 7 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
• The 27-year-old has put up a 2.63 ERA and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings across 17 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .208 to opposing hitters.
• Cortes has registered seven quality starts this season.
• Cortes heads into the matchup with 12 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• The opposing Orioles offense has the 16th-ranked slugging percentage (.388) and ranks 16th in MLB play with 97 home runs. It has a collective .234 batting average, and is 23rd in MLB with 743 total hits and 21st in MLB action scoring 398 runs.
• Cortes has thrown five innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out 12 against the Orioles this season.

Orioles Starter Dean Kremer

• Kremer (3-1) will take the mound for the Orioles, his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, July 16, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed eight hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 2.59, a 2.667 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.320.
• In eight starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• In eight starts this season, Kremer has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 5.1 innings per appearance.
• The Yankees rank first in MLB with 514 runs scored this season. They have a .244 batting average this campaign with 164 home runs (first in the league).

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 89 times this season and won 60, or 67.4%, of those games.
• New York is 33-11 this season when entering a game favored by -183 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 64.7%.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of their 96 games with a total this season.
• The Yankees are 45-51-0 against the spread in their 96 chances this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have come away with 40 wins in the 85 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Baltimore has won 11 of 32 games when listed as at least +155 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 39.2% chance of walking away with the win.
• Baltimore and their opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 95 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Orioles are 63-32-0 against the spread in their 95 games that had a posted line this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Judge has racked up a team-high batting average of .292, and leads the Yankees in home runs (36) and runs batted in (79).
• Judge’s home runs rank him first in the majors, and he is first in RBI.
• Judge has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with two doubles, three home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .221 with 16 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 43 walks.
• Rizzo ranks ninth in home runs and 18th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Rizzo carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .188 with a double and a walk.
• DJ LeMahieu is batting .287 with 14 doubles, nine home runs and 52 walks.
• LeMahieu is on a seven-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .417 with a double, a home run, 10 walks and two RBI.
• Gleyber Torres is hitting .263 with 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 24 walks.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins has 23 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 28 walks while batting .262.
• Mullins is 157th in home runs and 85th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Mullins brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with two walks and three RBI.
• Austin Hays is hitting .264 with 23 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 21 walks.
• Hays ranks 68th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 55th in RBI.
• Anthony Santander leads the Orioles in home runs (16) and runs batted in (49).
• Ryan Mountcastle is batting .262 with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 19 walks.