Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/5/2022

The New York Yankees (58-22) are -222 favorites for their Tuesday matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (32-47). Jameson Taillon gets the ball for the Yankees and will look to earn his 10th win of the campaign. New York’s Taillon and Pittsburgh’s Jose Quintana have been named the starters for this contest.

Yankees vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +185 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+185) and Over (8.5)

Yankees vs. Pirates Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: José Quintana
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 5, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Jameson Taillon

• Taillon looks for his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Yankees, his 16th of the season. He is 9-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 84 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Wednesday, the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings against the Oakland Athletics, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• The 30-year-old has a 3.32 ERA and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 15 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .260 to his opponents.
• Taillon is trying to pick up his fifth quality start of the year in this game.
• Taillon is aiming for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
• He meets a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in the league with 291 runs while batting .221 as a unit. It has a collective .371 slugging percentage (28th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 86 home runs (14th in MLB).
• The 30-year-old’s 3.32 ERA ranks 32nd, 1.143 WHIP ranks 31st, and 7.4 K/9 ranks 43rd among qualifying pitchers this season.

Pirates Starter José Quintana

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Quintana (1-4) for his 16th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
• The 33-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with an ERA of 3.20, a 2.68 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.276.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Quintana will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Yankees have scored 403 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .237 for the campaign with 133 home runs, first in the league.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 75 times and won 53, or 70.7%, of those games.
• New York is 17-1 this season when entering a game favored by -222 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 68.9%.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of their 80 games with a total.
• In 80 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 40-40-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have come away with 23 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win five times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +185 or longer on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 35.1% chance of pulling out a win.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have gone over in 34 of their 79 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 79 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 37-42-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge paces the Yankees with 29 home runs and 59 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .282.
• Judge is first in home runs and fifth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Anthony Rizzo has 10 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 37 walks while hitting .219.
• Of all major league hitters, Rizzo is fifth in home runs and 15th in RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .266 with 13 doubles, eight home runs and 38 walks.
• Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .241 with five doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in home runs (15) and runs batted in (32).
• Among all batters in the majors, Reynolds ranks 28th in home runs and 106th in RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has a club-best .256 batting average.
• Hayes is 250th in homers and 158th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Daniel Vogelbach is batting .235 with eight doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 31 walks.
• Jack Suwinski is hitting .221 with nine doubles, 13 home runs and 20 walks.