Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/16/2022

The New York Yankees (46-16), led by the red-hot Kyle Higashioka and his two-game homer streak, are -271 favorites to pick up a win over the Tampa Bay Rays (35-27) Thursday at 7:05 PM ET, live from Yankee Stadium. Luis Severino will get the ball for New York while Tampa Bay counter with Jalen Beeks.

Yankees vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Rays

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+224) and Over (7.5)

Yankees vs. Rays Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Luis Severino
• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Jalen Beeks
• Game Day: Thursday, June 16, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: The Bronx, New York
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Luis Severino

• Severino gets the start for the Yankees, his 12th of the season. He is 4-1 with a 2.80 ERA and 71 strikeouts through 61 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Friday against the Chicago Cubs, the right-hander threw 6 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering seven hits.
• In 11 games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.80, with 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .213 against him.
• Severino is looking to continue a second-game quality start streak in this game.
• Severino is seeking his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
• He will face a Rays offense that ranks 24th in the league with 258 runs while batting .231 as a unit. It has a collective .373 slugging percentage (26th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 58 home runs (21st in MLB).
• Severino has a 5.68 ERA and a 0.632 WHIP against the Rays this season in 6 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .095 batting average over one appearance.

Rays Starter Jalen Beeks

• The Rays’ Beeks will make his second start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Minnesota Twins, throwing 1 1/3 scoreless innings of relief and allowing two hits.
• He has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 1.38, a 4 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.000.
• The Yankees are batting .246 this season, 12th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .435 (second in the league) with 100 home runs.
• The Yankees have gone 1-for-8 with a double in one game against the left-hander this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 42 out of the 57 games, or 73.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
• New York has a record of 4-1 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -271 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 73% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of their 61 games with a total.
• The Yankees are 32-29-0 ATS in their 61 games with a spread this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have been underdogs in 16 games this season and have come away with the win six times (37.5%) in those contests.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given Tampa Bay this season with a +224 moneyline set for this game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 30.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 28 of their 62 opportunities.
• The Rays have posted a record of 29-33-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge’s 25 home runs and 49 RBI both lead the Yankees, in addition to his team-high .313 average.
• Among all MLB hitters, Judge ranks 10th in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .213 with 10 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
• Of all MLB batters, Rizzo ranks 14th in home runs and 12th in RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .261 with 12 doubles, five home runs and 23 walks.
• Gleyber Torres has eight doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 13 walks while hitting .250.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Randy Arozarena leads the Rays with seven home runs.
• In all of the majors, Arozarena ranks 77th in home runs and 58th in RBI.
• Yandy Diaz has a club-high .270 batting average.
• Diaz is currently 219th in homers and 237th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Manuel Margot has 10 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 16 walks while batting .317.
• Ji-Man Choi has a team-best 32 runs batted in.

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Rays

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Rays on the moneyline at +224. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.